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The Tax Lawyer

The Tax Lawyer: Winter 2023

Musings: Itemized Deductions and The Changing Fabric of American Society Wrought by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act – Observing Regressiveness Hidden in Plain Sight

William P Kratzke

Summary

  • Taxpayers who take advantage of the Code’s exclusions, deductions, and preferential rates implicitly “vote” on the shape of American society.
  • Pre-Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the Code enfranchised “aspirational” taxpayers who sought to own homes in flourishing neighborhoods, to educate their offspring, and to retire comfortably. The TCJA disenfranchised such taxpayers and enfranchised a business owner/investment class who will vote for a different type of American society.
  • By spending its tax cuts mostly on high-income taxpayers, Congress took a pass on addressing what many regard as the most pressing social problem of our time, i.e., rising inequality.
Musings: Itemized Deductions and The Changing Fabric of American Society Wrought by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act – Observing Regressiveness Hidden in Plain Sight
Alexander Spatari via Getty Images

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Abstract

Taxpayers who take advantage of the Code’s exclusions, deductions, and preferential rates implicitly “vote” on the shape of American society. Pre-TCJA, the Code enfranchised “aspirational” taxpayers who sought to own homes in flourishing neighborhoods, to educate their offspring, and to retire comfortably. The TCJA disenfranchised such taxpayers and enfranchised a business owner/investment class who will vote for a different type of American society. This article evaluates the TCJA’s changes to the Code against this straightforward rubric: “Does a change to the Code’s itemized deductions make our society better? A change should impel those who would reduce their income tax liability through itemized deductions and other preferences to make society better.” The TCJA ditches one class of taxpayers in favor of another without addressing, indeed exacerbating, the invidious discriminations of the pre-TCJA code. The TCJA makes the Code into an instrument of exacerbating and entrenching wealth inequality.

An “across-the-board” percentage tax cut too obviously reduces the income tax liability of high income taxpayers more than it reduces the income tax liability of other taxpayers. Congress did not cut taxes “across-the-board” in the TCJA, instead reducing disproportionately the ordinary income of high income taxpayers through deductions realistically available only to them, broadening the tax brackets below the top bracket, and compressing tax brackets from the top. Tax preferences are increasingly realistically available only to high income taxpayers. Tax preferences previously available to lower income taxpayers have either become unavailable to them (but not to high income taxpayers) or atrophied. This worsens inequality as the TCJA decreases the marginal tax bracket on all of a taxpayer’s taxable income much more for high income taxpayers than for lower income taxpayers. This decrease in progressivity or increase in regressivity is hidden in plain sight.

Progressivity would be enhanced by changing itemized deductions into tax credits equal to a percentage of an expenditure for which Congress wishes to provide a tax benefit. The expiration of many TCJA provisions provides Congress an opportunity to move away from itemized deductions and towards tax credits. This would re-enfranchise many taxpayers who lost their voice in shaping American society. Maybe that society was not ideal, but the TCJA did not improve it.

I. Introduction: “You Can Observe a Lot by Watching”

The Internal Revenue Code is the single most comprehensive statement of policy in American law. It suggests the best ways to make and spend our income, and how we spend our income defines who we are. It affects any person who has income. Taxpayers who have the wherewithal to take up the Code’s income tax liability-reducing suggestions help to “mold” the fabric of much of American society. For those without the wherewithal to take up the Code’s tax liability-reducing suggestions, the Code functions to perpetuate an unequal distribution of advantages. It should be obvious that the tax benefit afforded to one taxpayer or group of taxpayers will increase the tax burden of other taxpayers if we expect the income tax to raise a certain amount of revenue. Nothing is free, and those without the wherewithal or desire to make tax liability-reducing expenditures pay for the taxes on the untaxed choices of the taxpayers who make them. Adoption of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in December 2017 removed many taxpayers from the rolls of those able to itemize deductions, and in so doing, established high-income taxpayers as the only ones who should have the privilege to make those tax liability-reducing choices that are inherent in itemized deductions and denied the privilege to many millions more. These deductible tax liability-reducing choices represent “votes” for the type of society we want. The TCJA will hasten the changes in American society already occurring, and not necessarily for the better.

Taxpayers determine their tax liability according to a “tax formula” derived from sections 61, 62, and 63 of the Code. A taxpayer determines his or her tax liability by (1) adding together all items of gross income, i.e., accessions to wealth (section 61), (2) subtracting the deductible expenditures named in section 62 to determine an “adjusted gross income” (AGI), (3) subtracting either the taxpayer’s itemized deductions or a standard deduction, (section 63(b)(1), 63(d)), and post-TCJA (4) subtracting any “qualified business income amount” (QBI) deduction (sections 63(b)(3), 199A). The taxpayer then computes his or her income tax liability, applying rules applicable to certain types of income and using indexed brackets applicable to so-called “ordinary income.” Those brackets do not apply to a taxpayer’s “net capital gain.” Until 2025, section 1(j)(5) establishes a “maximum zero rate amount” and a “maximum 15-percent rate amount” to determine whether a taxpayer’s net capital gain plus qualified dividends will be subject to a tax rate of 0%, 15%, or 20%. “Net capital gain” and “qualified dividends” are subject to tax rates that are slightly more than half the tax rates applicable to “ordinary income.” Then (5) the taxpayer may reduce his or her tax liability by any credits available. Every mathematical operation after tallying up gross income (except for computation of the tax itself) is a subtraction, to wit: adjustments to gross income, standard or itemized deductions, QBI deduction, and credits. These subtractions from taxable income or tax liability reflect congressional judgments that taxpayers who incur certain expenses or derive certain types of business income should be accorded a “tax benefit.”

A neutral tax code would not influence a taxpayer to prefer one expenditure over another. By adopting tax measures that do influence taxpayers to make certain expenditures, Congress has willingly sacrificed neutrality in favor of such influencing and, as a result, has done much to allow the Code to mold the fabric of American society. The TCJA, by suspending or limiting various deductions through the end of 2025, might appear to move the Code towards greater neutrality.

It did not. Rather, the TCJA restricts the availability of itemized deductions that reduce a taxpayer’s income tax liability to high-income taxpayers and rewards taxpayers for owning successful businesses above and beyond the profits a market economy already provides to such winners. The rich will get richer while others will not, and they will have more and cheaper votes in determining the type of society we will have.

This availability of certain tax benefits to some and their unavailability to others have had profound effects on the fabric of American society, often sub silentio reenforcing patterns of invidious racial, economic, and social segregation. Individual taxpayers probably do not believe that their choices help to mold the fabric of American society. Rather, they see their choices as affecting only their own tax liability, and naturally, would prefer to reduce such tax liability as much as possible. But of course, individual taxpayers’ choices do make such contributions.

Taxpayer’s tax-reducing choices cumulatively favor all those taxpayers who make the same choices—at the expense of entire groups who do not and perhaps cannot make a tax-reducing choice. Professor Joel Slemrod observes:

With very few exceptions, modern tax systems do not base tax liability on the group identity of the taxpayer, be that race, religion, gender, or other characteristic—there is no explicit discrimination. But effective differentiation of tax burden by group membership can be achieved without explicit discrimination if tax liability depends on choices or circumstances that are characteristic of group members. Modern taxes are not lump-sum, and, as such, choices drive tax liability. This is obvious in the case of excise taxes, where those who consume relatively more of a taxed good or service bear a higher burden, other things equal. However, it is also true of income tax systems that typically contain scores of provisions that reward or penalize households based on their choices and circumstances.

Pre-TCJA, taxpayers learned to game the rules to the extent they were able. The ones not so able paid more than those with otherwise comparable incomes. The TCJA has changed the rules of the game. Taxpayers will quite predictably game the new rules so as to reduce their income tax liability.

In evaluating the TCJA’s changes, this Article adopts this straightforward rubric: Does a change to the Code’s itemized deductions make our society better? A change should impel those who would reduce their income tax liability through itemized deductions to make society better.

More divisiveness on the lines of race, economic well-being, and social and cultural lines do not make our society better absent some as yet undefined offsetting benefit. Greater concentration of wealth among the already wealthy (and that greater concentration’s accompanying greater inequality) is not better. Decreasing progressivity or increasing regressivity, or both, is not better.

Backers of the TCJA who will argue that its temporary measures should be made permanent should bear the burden of showing that its changes will produce a net improvement to our society. They have yet to do so.

For cohorts of lower-income taxpayers, the standard deduction naturally constitutes a greater portion of their income than it does of higher-income taxpayers who itemize. They therefore derive a proportionally greater benefit from the standard deduction than higher-income taxpayers do. The income tax-reducing expenditures that they may have the wherewithal to make must either reduce their adjusted gross income (AGI) (i.e., through deductions named in section 62) or entitle them to tax credits. Many above-the-line deductions and creditable expenditures are subject to income phaseouts and so to that extent do not benefit higher-income taxpayers.

Section 62’s adjustments to gross income (i.e., “above-the-line” deductions) are to a considerable extent allowed for incurring the expenses of earning income not derived through ownership of a business, shifting the income tax burden associated with earning income to the time such income is used for certain forms of consumption, incurring expenses that should reduce a taxpayer’s income tax liability but will not because such taxpayer’s deductible expenses will not exceed the standard deduction, and incurring expenses that pursue policies bigger than the interests of a taxpayer (e.g., costs of discrimination suits, attorneys’ fees of whistleblowers). For high-income taxpayers who itemize, section 62 is not so important. Section 62 grants a taxpayer only a little discretion whether or how s/he will or should incur expenses that adjust his or her gross income, and as section 67(g)’s suspension of “miscellaneous itemized deductions” illustrates, that discretion is revocable.

Itemized deductions, on the other hand, can reduce a taxpayer’s income tax liability for expenditures over which taxpayer has considerably more discretion, e.g., charitable contributions to advocacy and policy-oriented educational-purpose organizations (section 170(c)(2)(B)), home mortgage interest deduction (section 163(h)(2)(D)), and state and local tax (SALT) deductions (§ 164(a)(1, 2)). In addition, high-income taxpayers benefit from the lower tax rates applicable to their net capital gain income. For taxpayers who derive a sizable portion of their income from net capital gains and qualified dividends, a lighter income tax burden on such gain is equivalent to an invisible deduction from ordinary income. Tax benefits for high-income taxpayers can be in the form of a lower tax rate or a reduction of taxpayer’s “taxable income.” The result is the same.

For taxpayers in higher (but not only the highest) income segments, the Code pre-TCJA fashioned a large class of “aspirational” taxpayers, i.e., taxpayers who aspired to own homes, to educate themselves and/or their offspring, to contribute to charity, and to retire comfortably. The Code reduced their income tax liability relative to the income tax liability of other taxpayers because they “voluntarily” used their income to invest in such aspirational objectives. They were itemizers who deducted the mortgage interest they paid to borrow money to purchase their home, the property, income, and (in some states) sales taxes they paid to state and local governments, and the contributions they paid to charities. They were part of President George W. Bush’s “ownership society” and the ideal taxpayers. Pre-TCJA, the government collected more from a nonitemizer than it did from an aspirational itemizer with the same adjusted gross income. A sufficient number of taxpayers could respond to the Code’s incentives so that a certain type of society emerged. There might be consensus that such a society of homeowners living in stable neighborhoods was the best among all the alternatives. No longer. The TCJA doubled the standard deduction so most of these aspirational taxpayers no longer itemize. Now, the government will collect the same amount from both the pre-TCJA (and no longer) itemizer and the never-was itemizer with the same adjusted gross incomes. Rate reductions coupled with increases in the ranges of incomes subject to each increasing bracket prevented most taxpayers’ tax bills from increasing, even as the tax bills of many taxpayers decreased relative to those of other taxpayers. It seems that most taxpayers did not notice (or did not complain) about this.

When the standard deduction increases, the size of the class of taxpayers who benefit more from claiming the standard deduction rather than itemization increases. The TCJA doubled the standard deduction. The expenditures for which large cohorts of taxpayers no longer reap income tax benefits relative to other taxpayers through itemization are increasingly trivialized insofar as shaping the American home-ownership society is concerned. Perhaps that is good, but it should not be ignored. This Article presents some random musings about the TCJA provisions that together will help to change the fabric of American society. Post-TCJA, the Code may help to fashion a class of “business owner” or investment taxpayers, especially business owners who manufacture things, preferably for export, and investors who invest in and hold property beside their homes. This class will be smaller than the “aspirational class.” Should the members of this class so choose, their deductible expenditures can easily pass the threshold of itemization through payments of mortgage interest to service hefty borrowing to acquire a home, of $10,000 of state and local taxes, and of charitable contributions. And irrespective of whether members of this class can itemize, they can direct more of their expenditures to business profit, and their tax liability will decrease further relative to other taxpayers solely because they are profitable: the more they profit, the more they can reduce their taxable income. They will also invest in growth securities and thereby defer tax liability on their investment income (or at least allow it to compound it at preferential tax rates), perhaps forever. Taxpayers with the wherewithal to generate more of their income as “net capital gains” generally begin with more wealth, and they have considerable discretion in how they generate such gains. The result of these trends will be an effectively less progressive (perhaps even regressive) tax code. And as the rich alone get richer while others do not, inequality and the manifestations of it will increase.

This Article focuses on the aspirational and business owner classes of taxpayers. It focuses on taxpayers who do (or did) have the wherewithal to respond to the tax liability-reducing choices inherent in the Code. The merely aspirational taxpayer no longer responds to the Code’s blandishments to shape American society because the Code’s emphasis has changed. “Votes” of the aspirational class will no longer be so meaningful. The business owner or investment class of taxpayers will be the only ones able to respond to the Code’s blandishments to help determine the type of society we have. The Code’s changing emphasis has occurred not through wholesale redefinition of existing provisions, but through increases, decreases, and limitations on existing and well-defined deductions and exclusions, as well as through overt handouts of tax benefits to a certain class of successful (i.e., making a lot of income) taxpayers solely because they were successful. The Code now gives tax benefits to nonservice provider business owners, service providers with effective lobbyists, and real estate investors. Employees and most other service providers are not so favorably regarded. The Article observes that there are consequences to this and also argues that to the extent Congress wishes to pursue policy through the Code, including investment policy, it should do so through tax credits rather than itemized deductions. This would give more taxpayers a “vote”—re-enfranchising them—in determining the type of society we have and reverse the trend toward regressiveness in the Code.

II. The Internal Revenue Code, Tradeoffs, and Burden Sharing Among Economic Classes

U.S. governments—federal, state, and local—raise most of the revenue necessary to operate through taxes. We consider here mainly the federal income tax, but there are payroll taxes, sales and excise taxes, and property taxes, to name a few others. Those who choose which taxes to use to raise revenue implicitly determine the capacity of a government to accomplish things. Low tax revenues may result from low rates of tax or from a determination not to mulct a particular tax base from which such revenue could be raised. And higher taxes imply the opposite. Choosing to collect little in tax revenues implies a determination that a government will not provide services that another government might feel a greater compulsion to provide. Adoption of the TCJA manifested a choice to make the federal government smaller and less responsive to felt needs because it will raise less revenue than the pre-TCJA Code. Its cap on the SALT deduction also implies smaller state and local governments.

Moreover, the capacity of one type of tax to raise revenue depends on whether the tax is imposed on those with sufficient capacity to pay it. Choosing a tax that is regressive (or regressive in effect) will require that those with less wherewithal pay a larger share of their wherewithal to raise a certain amount of revenue than a tax that is progressive in effect. A flat tax on consumption, such as a sales tax, may appear to be fair, equitable, and equal—but its effect is likely regressive. High-income taxpayers can afford to save and so do not pay the consumption tax on all their income. For low-income taxpayers who cannot save, the opposite is true. State governments that choose to rely (mostly) on flat consumption taxes will, over time, perpetuate economic stratification and limit what they can accomplish—all other things being equal. Those effects will have a particularly pernicious effect on racial minorities because they are the most economically disadvantaged. For at least some state legislatures, this pernicious effect seems not to matter.

Every choice concerning whether and what to tax imposes the opportunity cost of forgoing one or more alternatives, i.e., there are tradeoffs. A “big, beautiful tax cut” is not costless. On a system-wide level, someone’s “big, beautiful tax cut” will cost someone else—whether as an increased tax burden, as a reduced benefit, or as some other reduced expenditure (e.g., national defense, infrastructure investment). Fairness requires that the proponents of reductions in income taxes identify that “someone.” The rationale for cutting social programs after choosing to reduce tax revenues that “we just don’t have the money” is not a rationale for such cuts, but a manifestation of a choice no longer to raise the necessary revenues from those who would have to pay. The statement that Congress and the President chose to give tax cuts to the wealthiest Americans at the expense of those least able to pay is a far more accurate description of relevant tradeoffs than the vacuous statement that we all deserve tax cuts.

Tax legislation is policy legislation, and policy legislation manifests judgements about fairness. This is certainly true of the income tax—as through measurements of gross income, exclusions from gross income, adjustments to gross income, and itemized deductions we determine the legislatively-approved appropriate amount on which to assess an individual taxpayer’s income tax liability. Determination of the appropriate tax bracket to be applied to increments of taxable income manifests another judgment. Credits against tax liability manifest judgments about the choices taxpayers make or their personal situations that entitle them to such credits. The Code distinguishes taxpayers from each other through the allocation of such benefits and burdens. Those distinctions may be, at least arguably, inappropriate.

Professor Linda Sugin’s early identification of the choices that Congress has made in the Code (and elsewhere), including through the TCJA, are the following:

  1. The best family is the “traditional” family, i.e., married taxpayers, especially those with children;
  2. Individuals are entitled to keep more of their income derived from capital than from labor;
  3. The best taxpayers are autonomous individuals, not dependent on employers;
  4. Charity is the domain mainly of the rich; and
  5. Physical things are important.

These seem to reflect explicitly the core values of the TCJA. Implicit values are that racial and economic inequality should be enhanced and that wealth is insufficiently concentrated. Wealthy taxpayers deserve to keep their wealth in their families, even after they die. Neighborhoods should be racially and economically segregated. Wealth begets wealth; greater inequality is acceptable.

Since the time of Ronald Reagan’s presidency, the prevailing—that is to say, it prevailed—wisdom is that supply side tax cuts spur investment, especially among the wealthy, and thereby spur growth that leads to higher employment and higher wages. Tax cuts lift all boats. In the case of the TCJA, the tautology fails—likely at the first step—spurring investment. The TCJA’s tax cuts as policy have failed to lift all boats. The damage done—racial and economic inequality, wealth concentration—has outweighed the gains that could be attained in no way other than supply side tax cuts.

A certain amount of inequality results from a vibrant, competitive, and innovative economy. Innovators (and the investors who supported them) profited from the advances they brought to market that have made our lives better. They deserve more wealth than the rest of us. But a tipping point has been reached. Concentration has increased, but societal benefits have not kept pace. Untoward consequences (e.g., increasing crime, distrust of institutions, political instability, health issues) have resulted. Amendment of the Tax Code ought not to accelerate the concentration of wealth and worsen inequality. But the TCJA does just that.

Society is now divided and segregated along racial, economic, educational, and cultural lines. Inequality has grown to unhealthy levels. Nevertheless, many people find a place, a niche, within the social construct that the Code implicitly endorses, largely oblivious to the consequences that befall others. Each pursues one or more American dreams, whether home ownership, education, a comfortable retirement, or pursuit of ideology. For many years, the Code has supported the pursuit of these dreams with subsidies from those who did not or could not pursue them. The ones for whom the Code provides no subsidy for their choices are invariably ones who are racially, economically, and educationally disadvantaged. Whether by accident or design is irrelevant.

Inequality across generations of course creates a different starting point for everyone. Those who were born with a “silver spoon in their mouth” may work hard—and achieve much. They benefit from a widespread belief that they earned and deserve all their wealth and position and should not be accountable to those less high-born. They work hard, but there is a circularity to their claims of just desserts. And once they have such wealth, they will spend up to the amount of their wealth to keep it. A person will spend nine to save ten. Some have the capacity to spend enormous amounts to influence those in power—or to become those in power—to preserve their wealth. They may do this in the name of charity so that other taxpayers pay for supporting the causes of those with wealth. Or they may more crassly (and often secretively) spend to preserve their wealth.

The TCJA was big, but not beautiful. Its tradeoffs will not improve the fabric of American society. This Article now turns to the impetuses that the Tax Code created pre-TCJA and post-TCJA to create certain dreams and preferences. We have ostensibly moved from the creation of an aspirational society to the creation of a business owner-investment society.

III. Itemized Deductions: Ditching the Aspirational Class to Benefit the Business Owner-Investment Class

Pre-TCJA, the Tax Code, through itemized deductions, distinguished horizontally mainly among:

  • homeowners and renters,
  • those who paid (a lot of) state and local property, income, and sales taxes—and those who did not, and
  • those who made contributions to charity and those who did not.

The aspirational class benefitted from these distinctions relative to those less aspirational (or whose aspirations were less “conventional”) and relative to those with less means. Notably, members of the aspirational class could reduce their taxable income by the cost of borrowing money to purchase their personal residence, paying state and local taxes, and contributing to charity. There may have been little reason to prefer that the Code make these distinctions rather than other distinctions or even no distinctions, but taxpayers qua consumers over many years responded to the prods these distinctions created to maximize the value our economy could create within the parameters of these rules. If the focus of the Code’s distinctions should change, we should have some assurance that such change leads to an actual improvement.

The TCJA effectively jettisoned the aspirational class in favor of a nonprofessional class of business owners or investors who own homes and rear children without addressing—indeed exacerbating—the invidious discriminations of the pre-TCJA Code. Post-TCJA, the Tax Code through itemized deductions distinguishes vertically only between very-high-income taxpayers and everyone else. It also makes distinctions among the high-income taxpayers. The magnitude of these distinctions depends on the amount of the standard deduction and so the filing status of a taxpayer. Because the standard deduction amounts decrease from the filing status of married filing jointly to head of household to single, while the caps on the itemized deductions considered herein are the same for all taxpayers irrespective of filing status, the magnitude of these distinctions can increase from married filing jointly to head of household to single.

Horizontally among very-high-income taxpayers, the Code post-TCJA through itemized deductions distinguishes between taxpayers who make substantial charitable contributions and those who do not, and between taxpayers who are purchasing homes in a certain price range and those who are not. Very-high-income taxpayers cast consumer votes for their lifestyle choices and causes that only they can afford, and the post-TCJA Code rewards them and only them through itemized deductions. Pre-TCJA, the Code ostensibly offered the same incentives to a much larger cohort of taxpayers who aspired to have their wealth configured in ways the Code seemingly encouraged. The aspirational class was able to participate in a certain type of democratic process—voting with income not subject to income taxation on the aspects of American society that could be shaped by such expenditures. After the TCJA increased the cost of such participation by doubling the standard deduction, many in the aspirational class have been disenfranchised. Post-TCJA, the highest-income earners will benefit from charitable contribution deductions more than any other taxpayers and may feel entitled to mold the fabric of American society through their generosity. “[B]ecause of the TCJA, the wealthy generally receive government support in their efforts to exert disproportionate control over society, while those with lower incomes who have a greater need for government support in order to affect society, are generally not given it.” “By limiting the itemized charitable deduction primarily to the wealthy, the government is supporting the wealthy’s efforts to shape civil society . . .” Society will become less pluralistic. This is not an improvement.

The business owner or investment class is a much smaller cohort of taxpayers than the aspirational cohort—and comprised of the highest of income earners. Beyond what members of this class need to be a part of the aspirational class, these taxpayers seek wealth through ownership of capital assets. This class benefits from lower tax rates on capital gains than on ordinary income, and deferral of recognition of gains. The lower income tax rates on net capital gains assure that this class does not need to derive tax benefits from home ownership to enjoy tax benefits of comparable magnitude. Of course, these benefits are still available to them should they wish to exploit them. Because this class derives income from the ownership of property and the nonrecognition of unrealized gains, the income of this class can compound faster than it can for others, thereby exacerbating inequality among the classes identified here. This class can compound these gains further by adopting the strategy of “buy, borrow, die.”

By taking advantage of such benefits, taxpayers as a whole help shape the productive aspects of our economy and determine the availability and quality of the things that money can buy of which Congress sufficiently approves to provide a tax benefit. The facially neutral language of the Code presumes that all its provisions apply equally to all taxpayers, and that all taxpayers can voluntarily take advantage (or not) of adjustments to gross income, itemized deductions, the qualified business income deduction, and tax credits. All the while, we know that only those with a certain amount of income are well-positioned to borrow substantial sums to purchase a personal residence, to spend substantial sums on a cause in which they believe (whether or not charitable), to spend substantial sums on what they believe to be worthy culture, to spend their income purchasing capital assets, or to spend income on approved retirement vehicles. The purchasing decisions of the highest-income earners do much to determine the availability and quality of such tax-favored things as housing, educational institutions, culture, and even political thought. The highest-income earners now cast disproportionately less expensive votes than others cast.

We are admittedly omitting lower-income-never-were-itemizer taxpayers from consideration. Irrespective of provisions of the Code, such taxpayers will not have the wherewithal to make deductible income tax liability-reducing expenditures, e.g., paying interest on a home mortgage, paying state and local taxes, making sizable charitable contributions, paying sizable medical expenses. The pecuniary cost to them of forgoing tax-liability-reducing choices is less because their tax bracket is lower than the tax bracket of higher-income taxpayers. If the standard deduction is more than the amount the taxpayers in this class of taxpayer spend on such tax-favored items, they derive a greater benefit from taking the standard deduction than if they had itemized. For this group, the benefit of the standard deduction is available even if their expenditures on such items are $0. This is a truism for any nonitemizing taxpayer. However, the TCJA took the privilege of itemization from a sizable cohort of middle bracket taxpayers; i.e., it disenfranchised them.

And so, the focus turns to the one-time but no-longer itemizer.

IV. The TCJA: Moving Towards Neutrality and Arriving Further from It

Perhaps the best of all possible income tax codes is one that is neutral in that it does not influence taxpayers to make certain decisions. The argument is that taxes, at least the income tax, should serve no purpose other than to raise funds necessary to enable the government to function. The Code should neither reward nor punish taxpayers for the choices they make with respect to how they earn or spend income. Professor Boris Bittker addressed this pipe dream many years ago.

In theory, a “neutral” income tax code would impose an income tax on “all” taxable income and allow no deductions or exclusions other than for the cost of earning the income. The same tax rates would apply irrespective of how a taxpayer derived income. In such a world, taxpayers as consumers would make their purchasing and earning choices without any concern for the tax consequences of their choices. Taxpayers’ purchasing choices would truly reflect the relative after-tax values they as consumers (and as a collective whole) place on items of consumption (or saving). This would lead to productive and allocative efficiency. Producers of goods and services would be rewarded most by being productively efficient, i.e., deriving the “most bang for the buck.” Consumption and production choices would distribute wealth in a way that maximizes the value that our nation’s economy generates, i.e., allocative efficiency. But, alas, the Code is not neutral. It will always be an instrument that Congress uses to pursue policy. Tax neutrality is not possible.

Any deviation from a “neutral” tax code to some extent compromises either productive efficiency, allocative efficiency, or both. Any exclusion, deduction, or credit furthers a particular policy, and Congress must implicitly value that policy more than either productive efficiency, allocative efficiency, or both. Once a policy is in place, the economy will move to maximize value within the constraints of deviations from neutrality that the policy entails.

Taxpayers who avail themselves of itemized deductions in essence receive a discount for making congressionally-favored purchase and investment choices that nonitemizing taxpayers do not enjoy. Deductions (or exclusions from gross income) from taxable income for personal expenditures—i.e., not those for ordinary and necessary trade or business expenses—have historically pursued some combination of four fundamental objectives that Congress implicitly endorsed. The Tax Code makes pursuit of most of these objectives voluntary in that no one is compelled to incur the expenses of pursuing them.

  1. Congress may grant taxpayers a tax benefit, whether by deduction or exclusion, because we are willing to permit taxpayers to exchange some current consumption for future consumption, e.g., pensions, medical care (health savings accounts), education. That future consumption might be subject to income taxation at the time it occurs. The fact that taxpayers willingly make these exchanges assists them in making certain expenditures that government—whether federal, state, or local—might otherwise feel a need to help them make. In these cases, the Code creates a consumption tax rather than an income tax.
  2. Congress may permit deductions or grant other benefits to encourage taxpayers to make investments that will enlarge the tax base, i.e., investments in increasing taxable income, e.g., expenses of moving to a better job, education expenses, dependent care expenses.
  3. Congress may permit deductions because a sense of fairness—whether or not misplaced—requires that taxpayers who have no meaningful choice but to make certain expenditures should not have to bear those expenses from their after-tax income, e.g., medical expenses, casualty loss expenses.
  4. Congress may permit deductions because taxpayers make expenditures that permit them to contribute to the building of a society that we as a nation implicitly want, e.g., charitable contributions, especially to so-called “A” charities, home mortgage interest deduction, SALT deductions. Such expenditures encourage voluntary expenditures (i.e., consumption) that benefit the greater society.

A tax preference should not reduce overall societal value in the tradeoffs that it requires. Only two of these rationales stand up to the scrutiny such a standard implies. Of the four broad purposes of deductions, exclusions, and credits—only two do not perforce require other taxpayers’ subsidization: taxing income at a more appropriate time (i.e., time of consumption rather than currently) and investing in enlarging the tax base. This claim is based upon the ideal that a tax preference should not reduce overall societal value through the tradeoffs that it requires and that mandating taxpayer subsidization of others’ choices will likely reduce overall societal value. Consider each of these four objectives:

Exchange current for future consumption: The Code permits taxpayers to exchange current consumption for particularized future consumption. The taxpayer implicitly values that future consumption more than current consumption. Upon that future consumption, such consumption may or may not be subject to income tax. Such exchanges may give the taxpayer the opportunity to exploit the time value of money because the deferred income is (apt to be) subject to a lower rate of income tax than what it was when originally realized. Examples include health savings accounts (sections 223(d), 106(d)), qualified tuition plans (section 529) and Coverdell Education Savings accounts (section 530), individual retirement accounts (sections 219/62(a)(7)), and other retirement vehicles (sections 401(k), 403(b), 457, etc.). These provisions also help to smooth the timing mismatch otherwise occurring between income and expenditures. Such exchanges should be encouraged, so long as the choice of spending objectives and the income tax treatment of the future consumption are appropriate for the particularized expenditure—whether income tax, exclusion, or shifting the tax burden to another.

Enlarging the tax base: Congress gives some income tax benefits because taxpayers incur expenses that (potentially) enlarge the income tax base. Such benefits include credits for child and dependent care (section 21), education credits that phase out (section 25A), and deductions for education loan interest that phase out (sections 221/62(a)(17)). Pre-TCJA, taxpayers who incurred qualified moving expenses (section 217/62(a)(15)/132(g)) to move to the locale of another job might encourage them to seek better employment opportunities. These tax benefits are beneficial because they increase the income-earning potential of taxpayers and therefore the income tax base.

The TCJA suspended the Code’s moving expense provisions. That suspension creates barriers to seeking better employment for lower-income persons who must work in-person during the pandemic. Many higher-income persons learned that they could work via Zoom and other remote working tools and, thus, did not need to move to keep their jobs. Restoring tax benefits for moving expenses in 2026 should take the form of a phase-down (or even a phase-out) based on a taxpayer’s income for moving expenses. The TCJA also did not increase the child and dependent care credit (section 21), a credit that is limited in amount, available for only two children, not indexed for inflation, and which Congress has not increased since 2001. It also did not increase the maximum exclusion for employer-provided dependent care assistance programs (section 129). The pandemic was the driving force that spurred Congress to address temporarily these omissions. Congress should have done more in the TCJA to enlarge the income tax base, particularly among those with lower incomes.

“Unfair” burdens: We naturally feel that tax expenditures should truly result from the exercise of meaningful choices. High medical expenses and casualty losses are two costs that we implicitly feel taxpayers should not have to bear without help from other taxpayers because taxpayers do not incur them through meaningful choices. Perhaps. However, insurance markets are such that there are, in fact, very few disasters that taxpayers cannot protect themselves against financially. Moreover, taxpayers’ behavior or consumption choices might increase or decrease the risk that such expenditures might one day be “necessary.” There is an element of moral hazard in one’s choice to smoke or to build a home in a flood plain or in a “tornado alley.” Pre-TCJA, casualty loss deductions perforce required that all taxpayers support those without the prudence to insure themselves against risks that they, at least in some manner and to some degree, willingly incurred. This reduces overall societal value. As for the medical expense deduction, the TCJA lowered the floor of medical deductions from 10% of AGI to 7.5% of AGI—a provision likely to help mainly high-income taxpayers more than anyone, as they are the ones most capable of exploiting the medical expense deduction. (Other taxpayers either have health insurance and do not have the wherewithal to incur noncovered expenses or do not have deductions of sufficient magnitude to itemize.)

The society we want: Between sections 102, 107, 163(h), 164,42 and 170, we can discern that Congress wants a society of generous, spiritual homeowners who live in good neighborhoods, and give money to charity. They work for employers who provide them and their families with healthcare (sections 106, 105) as well as other benefits for which there is a good fit between what employees want and what employers can provide (sections 129, 132, 127, 125, 79). There is hardly universal agreement in a country of 330 million people that all these are values that we should implicitly support at the expense of those not in accord. Moreover, some taxpayers lack the wherewithal or the desire to make some or all of the expenditures that such Code provisions require in order to receive the tax benefits they provide. Such taxpayers therefore implicitly subsidize those able and willing to make such expenditures. Such cost or tax liability shifting results in an overall loss in societal value in that costs are usually shifted away from those better able to pay to those less able to pay.

Comment: Particularly insofar as the Code helps to sculpt our society, there is for the most part nothing to compel the conclusion that its pre-TCJA objectives and policies are better than others and are ones for which those who do not make such voluntary expenditures should have to contribute. Those who do incur such expenses—like an invisible hand—cause our nation to pursue policies and shape our society at a price discounted by the amount of the expense multiplied by the responsive taxpayers’ marginal tax brackets. To the extent that fewer taxpayers can make such choices, the TCJA has made (or will make) pursuit of these policies the exclusive domain of high-income taxpayers.

The voluntariness of this form of participation in our democracy depends upon a meaningful opportunity to reduce income tax liabilities through itemization. In doubling the standard deduction, the TCJA cut the number of itemizers by 62.6% so that in tax year 2018, only 11.4% of individuals itemized deductions; in 2017, that figure was 30.6%. Taxpayers for whom itemized deductions are available are the ones who can (and may) voluntarily serve congressional ends. Remaining taxpayers can pursue those ends only at prices considerably higher than those paid by itemizers.

The rich are different; they have more money. If it was not plain before, the TCJA cemented in place a perception that the rich (i.e., those with high incomes) are indeed different. They derive income differently. They spend (i.e., consume) differently. They are taxed differently. Itemized deductions and tax-deferral are for the wealthy. Deductions for high-bracket taxpayers are the most expensive of the tax tools that Congress wields simply because their brackets, i.e., the multipliers, are the highest. Much discretion is inherent in their itemized deductible spending. On the other hand, adjustments to gross income, exclusions, and tax credits are allowed only for spending that is directive and specific.

With respect to itemized deductions, the facially neutral Code has discriminatory effects that other federal laws would prohibit if pursued deliberately and directly. These discriminatory effects perpetuate invidious discriminations, if not cause them. Of course, every taxpayer can contribute to the objectives that Congress ostensibly pursues through the Code, but very few will derive any tax benefit from their contributions relative to those who do not make such expenditures. The few who do—those in the high tax brackets—will derive outsized benefits, both because those in the lower brackets are squeezed out of this form of democratic participation and because their higher tax brackets ipso facto provide them with greater benefits. Their choices are not more worthy than others’ choices—particularly when their good fortune results from unequal opportunities.

Because the TCJA doubled the standard deduction and flattened tax brackets, most taxpayers who were itemizers will not see their taxable income tax liability increase, but they will see a “levelling down” of themselves with those taxpayers who never did itemize. The great majority of taxpayers no longer participate in the de facto voting that the Code previously enabled them to do. The TCJA moved the Code further from neutrality than the pre-TCJA Code and exacerbated inequality among taxpayers. This is not better than the pre-TCJA Code.

V. “Taxes Are for Little People”—Not for the Wealthy

Leona Helmsley, the real estate businesswoman, (in)famously claimed that “We don’t pay taxes; only the little people pay taxes.” On the whole, her remarks were not well-received. She served time in prison for tax evasion, among other crimes. Nevertheless, there is a disturbing truth to her observation. The wealthy do not pay less as a proportion of their income in taxes because they are cheats, but because they have moved beyond and out of the aspirational class. They no longer aspire to generate income in ways that the Code subjects to relatively high rates of income tax and then to spend it in ways Congress has deemed worthy of an itemized deduction. Rather they seek to generate income from their assets. They benefit from the fact that the income they derive from the wealth that they own (e.g., securities) is subject to light-touch taxation or deferral. This light-touch taxation does not depend on how they spend their income, but on how they earn it. Itemized deductions are not as important to them as they were to the pre-TCJA aspirational class.

The aspirational class sought to hold wealth in the form of personal residences and pensions. They acquired their personal residences with borrowed money and deducted the interest they paid on the borrowed money against income otherwise subject to ordinary income (i.e., “heavy-touch”) tax rates. They also deducted the property taxes they paid for holding wealth in such a form. The wealthiest Americans, on the other hand, now hold increasing portions of their wealth in corporate equities and mutual funds (i.e., investments), and in private businesses. They own decreasing portions of their wealth in personal residences. They can pursue the strategy of “buy, borrow, die:” buy growth securities or assets, hold them and borrow against them, and then die. Their heirs will receive a stepped-up basis so that the capital gains—which become the form in which they derive most of their income—are essentially untaxed. This is a game only the wealthy can play.

Tables 1-4 below are derived from the Federal Reserve’s compilation of information concerning the forms in which various groups hold their wealth. Over time, the clear trajectory is as noted here: the wealthiest Americans increasingly hold their wealth in forms that generate income subject to low rates of income tax, i.e., corporate equities and mutual funds and more recently private businesses. The less wealthy aspired to acquire wealth in the form of a personal residence, for which the Code previously accorded them a tax benefit.

Table 1

Bottom 50%

Year

Real Estate

Consumer Durables

Corporate Equities or Mutual Funds

Pension Entitlements

Private Businesses

Other Assets

1990

47.2

21.3

1.7

11.2

2.8

15.7

1995

47.3

22.9

2.3

11.2

2.3

14.0

2000

47.7

19.9

4.5

13.6

2.3

11.9

2005

57.6

18.8

1.9

9.4

1.9

10.3

2010

54.9

20.2

1.7

9.2

3.2

10.9

2015

48.8

20.9

3.0

11.4

2.4

13.5

2020

35.0

53.1

19.5

1.9

10.5

2.6

2021

33.7

51.7

19.6

3.1

11.5

1.9

Table 2

Top 50-90%

Year

Real Estate

Consumer Durables

Corporate Equities or Mutual Funds

Pension Entitlements

Private Businesses

Other Assets

1990

38.1

8.8

3.9

23.8

6.4

19.1

1995

35.5

9.0

5.1

28.5

5.0

16.7

2000

32.1

7.6

10.5

29.8

5.1

14.9

2005

40.9

7.0

6.5

25.8

5.5

14.3

2010

33.4

8.0

6.2

30.9

4.9

16.6

2015

31.0

6.7

8.3

34.0

4.1

15.9

2020

35.0

6.4

7.0

30.5

4.3

2.6

2021

33.7

6.3

9.6

30.0

4.2

16.3

Table 3

Top 90-99%

Year

Real Estate

Consumer Durables

Corporate Equities or Mutual Funds

Pension Entitlements

Private Businesses

Other Assets

1990

25.3

5.2

9.4

23.0

12.7

24.4

1995

22.2

5.1

12.9

29.7

10.4

19.7

2000

19.9

4.0

23.9

28.0

8.9

15.3

2005

26.5

3.9

15.4

28.2

8.9

17.1

2010

22.3

3.8

15.9

29.7

7.4

20.8

2015

19.4

2.8

20.4

30.8

8.9

17.7

2020

21.5

2.9

18.9

29.9

9.0

17.8

2021

19.7

2.6

26.2

28.2

7.4

15.8

Table 4

Top 1%

Year

Real Estate

Consumer Durables

Corporate Equities or Mutual Funds

Pension Entitlements

Private Businesses

Other Assets

1990

12.9

7.0

16.7

8.5

26.8

28.0

1995

11.4

4.7

24.9

7.9

23.7

27.5

2000

10.8

3.6

40.1

7.8

18.3

19.5

2005

18.2

3.5

27.9

5.9

21.8

22.7

2010

14.5

3.0

29.8

8.4

15.0

29.3

2015

12.5

3.0

38.7

6.5

18.0

21.3

2020

14.1

2.3

37.0

5.1

20.4

21.2

2021

11.3

1.9

49.3

3.3

17.4

16.8

These tables are notable as they reveal several identifiable trends:

  • Bottom 50%: Americans whose wealth places them in the bottom 50% have about half their wealth tied up in real estate (likely a home). They have approximately 3% of their wealth tied up in equities and mutual funds. Because of this, their likely tax on at least some of the income derived from equities and mutual funds is 0%. They have slightly more than 10% of their wealth tied up in pension entitlements and 2% of their wealth tied up in private businesses (a figure that has not changed despite the enactment of §199A). These overall proportions of their wealth ownership are not changing. Such changes would require these Americans to have greater access to investment capital than they currently have. However, aside from the exclusions of imputed rental income and capital gains upon sale post-TCJA, the majority of these taxpayers no longer derives a tax benefit from home ownership. Instead, this class of taxpayers derives a tax benefit from accumulating pension entitlements.
  • Top 50% to 90%: Americans whose wealth places them in the top 50% to 90% of wealth owners have about 35% of their wealth tied up in real estate. The figure may vary from year to year, but overall it is not changing very much as this class of taxpayers has slightly less than 10% of its wealth tied up in equities and mutual funds; nearly 30% of its wealth is tied up in pension entitlements (a figure that has trended upward), and less than 5% of its wealth tied up in private businesses (a figure that is trending downward, despite the enactment of §199A). It should be noted that some taxpayers who do have the means to alter the aforementioned proportions of their wealth seem to be gravitating towards ownership of equities and mutual funds. This gravitation has occurred when the tax rate on income derived from such sources decreased—notably the inclusion of “qualified” dividends in an individual taxpayer’s “adjusted net capital gain.”
  • Top 90 to 99%: Americans whose wealth places them in the top 90% to 99% of wealth owners have about 20% of their wealth tied up in real estate (a figure that is decreasing), whereas nearly 25% of their wealth is tied up in equities and mutual funds (a figure that is increasing). Additionally, they have about 29% of their wealth tied up in pension entitlements (a figure that might be inching upwards) and less than 9% of their wealth tied up in private businesses (a figure that is trending downwards, even after enactment of § 199A). Post-TCJA some, but hardly a majority, of these taxpayers derive some tax benefit from home ownership in addition to the exclusions of imputed rental income and capital gains upon sale. These Americans derive a tax benefit for accumulating pension entitlements. This group of taxpayers does have the capacity to alter the forms in which it holds wealth, and it is gravitating away from ownership of homes and private businesses and towards ownership of equities and mutual funds.
  • Top 1%: Americans whose wealth places them in the top 1% of wealth owners have less than 12% of their wealth tied up in real estate (a figure that is decreasing). The portion of their wealth tied up in home ownership has always been less than it is for other taxpayers. They have less than 4% of their wealth tied up in pension entitlements, a figure that is trending downwards. They have a substantial amount—about 20%—of their wealth tied up in private businesses, a figure that is not changing much, even after enactment of section 199A. This suggests that section 199A did not significantly influence taxpayers in this class to be entrepreneurial when they were not so inclined. Because they always did have a significant part of their wealth tied up in private businesses, section 199A essentially bestowed a windfall on them. They have more than 40% of their wealth tied up in equities and mutual funds, a figure that is significantly higher than it is for other groups and which is increasing dramatically. Even post-TCJA, these taxpayers derive a tax benefit from home ownership in addition to the exclusions of imputed rental income and capital gains upon sale. They derive a tax benefit for accumulating pension entitlements and for owning a private business.

The top 1% derive the highest proportion of their income and the greatest tax benefits from ownership of equities and mutual funds, income from which is taxed at rates lower than the rates paid by taxpayers in the lower income groups on their earned income. For the top 1%, the importance of earned income is undoubtedly much less than it is for other groups. For those able to pursue a strategy of “buy, borrow, die,” a top bracket of 39.6% or 37% makes very little difference when the accession to wealth is deemed to be “not taxable income” because not realized. There is much less risk from such a life strategy than there is from depending on income from a nonprofessional pass-through business. The very wealthiest Americans manage to subject very little of their income to ordinary rates and to have far more treated as unrealized gain.

Taking the last row from each of Tables 1-4 allows for easy comparisons of each group’s de facto preferences of its means of holding wealth.

Table 5

Top x%

Real Estate

Consumer Durables

Corporate Equities or Mutual Funds

Pension Entitlements

Private Businesses

Other Assets

0-50

51.7

19.6

3.1

11.5

1.9

12.3

50-90

33.7

6.3

9.6

30.0

4.2

16.3

90-99

19.7

2.6

26.2

28.2

7.4

15.8

> 1

11.3

1.9

49.3

3.3

17.4

16.8

Clearly, taxpayers with the most wealth choose to commit less of it to home ownership and more of it to corporate equities and mutual funds. They also retain a hold on private businesses. The TCJA assured that generous tax benefits follow them. The merely aspirational class has largely lost the tax benefits of the deductions dependent on home ownership.

Among the groups noted here, ownership of real estate—a surrogate for owning a home—ranged from 50% down to 12%. Ownership of equities and mutual funds, on the other hand, ranged from 3% to 45%. Stocks and mutual funds are the assets most easily utilized in a “buy, borrow, and die” strategy that depends on unrealized gains. The TCJA will prove to be an instrument of exacerbating and entrenching wealth inequality. Section 199A apparently will not change this, but it will provide undeserved windfalls for the wealthiest of taxpayers. Leona Helmsley was right: only the little people pay taxes.

VI. 50 Years of Income Tax Bracketology: The Art of Hiding Regressivity in Plain Sight

Tax brackets applicable to ordinary income have varied enormously, increasing dramatically during World War I and World War II and decreasing only slowly after World War II. As late as 1981, the top individual tax bracket was 70%. For the years 1982 to 1986, the highest individual tax bracket was 50%. In 1987 and from 1991 until 2017, the highest marginal rate was 39.6%, and in most years lower than that. For tax years 1988, 1989, and 1990, there were only two tax brackets: 15% and 28%. For tax years 1991 and 1992, there was a 31% bubble that higher-income taxpayers paid until the effective rate on all their taxable income was 28%. There was no capital gain preference. After 1992, the top bracket gradually increased to 39.6% with no bubble. The highest marginal rate since 2018 has been 37%. The capital gain preference returned. It seems that marginal tax brackets on ordinary income have settled into a range that tops out at just under 40%. The rate cuts of the 1980s did come with a broader base. No longer was personal interest, including the interest on credit card debt, fully deductible. A 2%-of-AGI floor was created for so-called “miscellaneous deductions.” The home mortgage interest deduction was subject to new limits: interest on no more than a total of $1 million of acquisition debt and on no more than two personal residences, and interest on no more than $100,000 of home equity debt. The figures for the home mortgage interest deduction were not subject to indexing, and pre-TCJA, had not changed in over 30 years. A 10%-of-AGI floor was created for personal casualty losses, coupled with a $100 floor for each casualty.

The early lexicon of tax cuts: In the 1970s, when the highest marginal income tax brackets were higher than 70%, President Gerald Ford proposed an “across-the-board” 10% tax rate cut. Someone noticed that high-income taxpayers would benefit most in terms of dollars saved. Cutting the tax rate by 10% for a taxpayer who pays a marginal rate of 70% benefits that taxpayer more than a 10% tax cut for a taxpayer who pays a marginal rate of 10%. After the cut, the higher-bracket taxpayer would pay a marginal rate of 63%, and the lower bracket taxpayer would pay a marginal rate of 9%. And, of course, 7% of a significant amount of income is considerably more than 1% of a much lesser amount. Senators and representatives orated from their respective floors that the higher income taxpayer might save the cost of a new Cadillac automobile while the lower-income taxpayer might save no more than the cost of an oil change for a Chevrolet Malibu from this “across-the-board” tax cut. The unfairness of such a tax cut should be “obvious.”

The dollars that a taxpayer saves from an “across-the-board” percentage rate cut are a function of three figures: (1) the percentage of the rate cut; (2) the starting tax rate from which the cut is made; and (3) the amount of income subject to the rate bracket being cut. This should be obvious, but it is the first figure that an administration trumpets most loudly. What one taxpayer saves from a certain percentage tax cut relative to what another taxpayer saves from the same percentage tax cut is determined by the degree of progressivity of the tax brackets. To the extent the rate structure is progressive, a percentage benefit—whether a percentage rate cut or a percentage reduction of the tax base—leverages the amount of that benefit in favor of those whose higher incomes place them in a higher tax bracket: the higher a taxpayer’s marginal bracket, the greater the absolute value of the tax benefit that is expressed as a percentage relative to the value of the benefit enjoyed by those in lower brackets. This is the math of describing a measure of the tax benefit by percentages rather than by fixed amounts.

It is no longer the 1970s, and things are different now. Those favoring a less progressive or even regressive tax code do not use the lexicon of percentage cuts in tax rates. We also hear less about what a high-income taxpayer saves through a tax cut because the brackets are much lower, flatter, and less progressive. Moreover, by reducing tax rates on capital gains (redefined to include most dividends), effective tax rates on all taxable income can be made less progressive, even regressive. Arguments that higher-income taxpayers should pay a higher percentage of their incomes in federal income taxes are countered with the claim that a tax increase will damage the economy. So long as no taxpayer’s income tax liability increases in amount from one year to the next, grumbling is largely muted. With that as a guidepost (i.e., don’t increase any taxpayer’s actual income tax liability) Congress has shown that it is willing to increase regressivity. This will assure that the Code remains a tool that tends (whether implicitly or explicitly) to increase inequality.

The TCJA’s lexicon of tax cuts: big and beautiful for high-income taxpayers: In addition to percentage cuts in tax rates, the leveraging of tax cuts in favor of high-income taxpayers can occur through uniform percentage reductions of the tax base or through reduction of the tax base of only (or mostly) higher-income taxpayers measured in dollars. The TCJA employed both techniques by tweaking the third element (i.e., the amount of income subject to the rate bracket being cut). It also tweaked the tax base of lower-income taxpayers by enlarging it. The TCJA suspended deductions that lower-income taxpayers might rely on and allowed credits especially pertinent to them to atrophy, i.e., not keep pace with inflation. The TCJA also compresses brackets from the top. All these measures lessen progressivity, increase regressivity, or both.

Uniform percentage reductions of the tax base—the qualified business income deduction: regressivity in plain sight: New section 199A permits pass-through entities—including individual proprietors—engaged in a trade or business other than most professions simply to reduce the amount on which they pay income tax by up to 20%. Its benefits will go mainly to taxpayers with annual incomes in excess of $1 million. This deduction is not an itemized deduction or an adjustment to gross income. By reducing the amount of income subject to income tax by 20%, section 199A effectively reduces the tax bracket of the taxpayers who can take advantage of it by up to 20%. For taxpayers in the 37% bracket, a 20% reduction in taxable income produces an actual marginal bracket of 29.6%. Section 199A hides regressivity in plain sight. Senators and representatives do not rail against such increased regressiveness as they might have railed against an x% tax cut in earlier times.

The structure of section 199A might suggest that its purposes are to encourage pass-through entities to invest more, to hire more employees, to pay employees more, and to make things (as opposed to providing professional services). But as Gale & Haldeman observe, business income depends largely on prior investment. Hence, much of the section 199A tax expenditure simply provides windfall gains to those who invested earlier. Section 199A does not in fact increase (much) current investment or employment. It does not necessarily reward pursuit of its ostensible purposes. Rather, it rewards characterization of income as “qualified business income” which may or may not reflect pursuit of its purposes. Very-high-income professionals can game the rules so as to avail themselves of the deduction, e.g., professional partnerships splitting off a firm that leases equipment to the professional service firm or recharacterizing salaries as business income. High-bracket taxpayers can effectively wipe out the employment taxes that they would otherwise pay—whether as “employees” or as owners of a pass-through entity. S corporation shareholders always could avoid these taxes. Section 199A might only incidentally function to encourage pass-through entities to invest, hire, and compensate.

The Code pursues section 199A’s ostensible objectives more directly through investment-encouraging provisions such as sections 162(a)(1), 168(k), and 179. In addition, section 42 provides a tax credit for investing in low-income housing. Section 45A provides a tax credit for wages paid to a low-income member (or spouse of a member) of an Indian tribe. Section 45D provides a tax credit for an investment in a “qualified community development entity,” i.e., one whose primary mission is to serve or provide investment capital to low-income communities or low-income persons. Section 45F provides a tax credit to employers who make expenditures to provide childcare assistance to employees. Section 47 provides a tax credit for the rehabilitation of historic structures. Section 51 provides a tax credit for wages paid to members of a “targeted group.” Entrepreneurs who benefit from provisions such as these make needed direct investments in certain specified productive assets and wages. These taxpayers invest, hire, and compensate in situations where such activities probably would not otherwise occur.

Manipulating itemized deductions—Itemization as an entitlement of high-income taxpayers: The Tax Code distinguishes between taxpayers through exclusions from gross income, adjustments to gross income, and tax credits. The Code discriminates against those who do not benefit from these tax liability-reducing measures in favor of those who do. For example, it discriminates against those who do not receive health insurance from their employers in favor of those that do. It discriminates against those who do not pay interest on education loans in favor of those who do. It discriminates against childless taxpayers in favor of those who have children. Importantly, entitlement to exclusions, adjustments to gross income, and tax credits are not dependent on making other expenditures. Indeed, a taxpayer may benefit from a single exclusion, adjustment to gross income, or tax credit, and so has available at least some choices insofar as reducing his or her income tax liability is concerned. For the most part, we do not regard the resulting discrimination that exclusions, adjustments to gross income, and tax credits generate as particularly invidious.

This is most unlike the discriminations that result from itemized deductions. Pre-TCJA, relatively few taxpayers could benefit from a single itemized deduction. But the “ideal” aspirational taxpayer could take advantage of an unlimited SALT deduction as well as the deduction for charitable contributions. The home mortgage interest deduction was limited to acquisition debt of $1 million and home equity debt of $100,000. The deduction for any of these expenditures made itemization advantageous relatively easy for a sizable group of taxpayers. Such deductions also acted as catalysts to build wealth through home ownership and to create homogeneous neighborhoods.

The TCJA doubled the standard deduction and capped the SALT deduction at $10,000. A taxpayer can no longer derive a federal income tax benefit merely from paying state and local taxes. The deduction for local taxes paid may perpetuate economic segregation, but capping the SALT deduction while simultaneously doubling the standard deduction so that only the highest-income taxpayers may avail themselves of any deduction will assure that such economic segregation increases. Only those who incur expenses that in combination exceed the much larger standard deduction threshold benefit from incurring the expenses noted here. Hence, only the very highest-income taxpayers benefit from itemization, and only if they make expenditures in the right combination of unrelated expenses. The doubling of the standard deduction by the TCJA means that some combination of (1) charitable contributions, (2) up to $10,000 of state and local taxes paid, and (3) home mortgage interest on acquisition debt of less than $750,000—must exceed $24,000 for those eligible for married filing jointly status.

Section 163(h)(2) permits homeowners to claim an itemized deduction for interest paid on a loan incurred to acquire a personal residence, i.e., “acquisition indebtedness,” section 163(h)(3)(B). Home mortgage interest rates are now about 4%. The median price of a home is now about $350,000. Borrowing $350,000 at 4% would generate an annual interest deduction (decreasing as the years go by) of slightly less than $14,000. For married taxpayers filing jointly, home mortgage interest plus $10,000 of SALT deductions is less than the standard deduction. Charitable contributions (or an increase in the mortgage interest rate) may put such taxpayers over the standard deduction amount, but clearly not all of the charitable contributions of taxpayers in this group will “work” to reduce their income tax liability. Furthermore, taxpayers who borrow to purchase a home make payments that will reduce the outstanding balance of their loans down to the point where the interest on the balance makes the interest deduction not worthwhile. The “ideal taxpayer” will no longer derive any tax benefit for being the ideal taxpayer.

Compare this with a high-income home buyer who borrows several million dollars, 30-year fixed at 4%, to purchase a home. Four percent of $750,000 is $30,000. It may be quite a few years before such a taxpayer pays his, her, or their acquisition debt down to less than $750,000. The effect of this is to “lock in” a relatively permanent deduction of $30,000 (more or less) for such a taxpayer. The SALT deduction of $10,000 would lock in another $10,000 of deductions. Assuming no other itemized deductions, the wealthiest taxpayers would then derive the full tax benefit of whatever deductible charitable contributions they make. Such a “lock in” functions as an entitlement available only to taxpayers with the highest income.

The effect of doubling the standard deduction on the availability of a home mortgage interest deduction is to raise the floor below which no such deduction is available. For all but the wealthiest of taxpayers, the availability of an itemized mortgage interest deduction is now quite elusive, and an already regressive measure becomes even more regressive. The deduction of section 163(h)(3)(B) does not encourage home ownership among nonitemizers and does not help the middle class build wealth through ownership of a home. Home mortgage interest and SALT are expenditures unrelated to charitable contributions, but for the highest-income taxpayers, these deductions can be permanently available. For most other taxpayers, a tax benefit for contributing to charity randomly depends on how much acquisition debt a taxpayer (still) has in purchasing a home. And vice versa. If Congress continues to provide a tax benefit for purchasing a home, paying state and local tax, and contributing to charity, it should decouple them. Otherwise, itemization is merely a tool by which to reduce the tax liability of only high-income taxpayers and thereby to decrease progressivity or to increase regressivity.

A cursory examination of tax expenditures from itemized deductions relevant to this Part (and important to aspirational taxpayers for tax years 2017 and 2018) reveals what all but the highest-income earners among American taxpayers lost through the TCJA, and what certain of the highest-income taxpayers gained. The following table provides a list of relevant tax expenditures in order of rank and the change from 2017 to 2018:

Table 6

Item

2019 (in millions)

2020 (in millions)

Change (in millions)

Exclusion of net imputed rental income

131,110

125,610

(5500)

*Deductibility of mortgage interest on owner-occupied homes

74,510

29,820

(44,690)

Step-up basis of capital gains at death

39,560

51,840

12,280

*Deductibility of nonbusiness State and local taxes other than on owner-occupied homes

80,190

7,520

(72,670)

*Deductibility of charitable contributions, other than education and health

55,030

39,540

(15,490)

Capital gains exclusion on home sales

44,550

46,600

2050

*Deductibility of State and local property tax on owner-occupied homes

38,190

6,650

(31,540)

Accelerated depreciation of machinery and equipment (normal tax method)

26,380

65,410

39,030

Deduction of Up to 20% of Qualified Business Income, section 199A

--

57,429

57,42

There has been a precipitous reduction in tax expenditures from deductions that now only high-income earners can avail themselves of, notably: home mortgage interest, state and local taxes (including property taxes on owner-occupied homes and other state and local taxes), and charitable contributions other than for education and health. These tax expenditures are noted with an asterisk (*) above. They decreased by a total (in millions) of $164,390. On the other hand, in the space of one year there was a steep and instantaneous increase in the tax expenditure for the qualified business income deduction for pass-through entities—suggesting that the tax expenditure was indeed a windfall for those who invested earlier. Over time, we can anticipate that the tax benefits of the aspirational class will be wholly (or mostly) transferred to high-income members of the business owner or investment class. Consistent with this conclusion, those who did not itemize deductions are now treated in parity with those who did itemize with the same incomes, i.e., the pre-TCJA nonitemizers benefitted from the TCJA much more than those who did itemize. This is not an improvement.

Squeezing tax brackets—raising the bottom brackets and lowering the top brackets: The TCJA enlarged the tax base by suspending or repealing some deductions, with the greatest impact on taxpayers whose incomes place them well below the highest brackets. It also permitted some provisions to atrophy, again with the greatest impact on lower-income taxpayers. Notably, the TCJA suspended the deduction for personal exemptions (section 151) and suspended the deduction for “miscellaneous deductions” (section 67). It did nothing to increase the dependent care credit (section 21) or the dependent care exclusion (section 129). It did not increase the exclusion of employer-provided group term life insurance from a face amount of $50,000 (section 79). The TCJA also substantially reduced the tax burden of those with high incomes by increasing the amount of income subject to every level of tax so that increasing amounts of income are subject to income tax only at lower marginal rates. The 28% bracket for taxpayers married filing jointly that became the 24% bracket for taxpayers married filing jointly received a huge benefit from the TCJA. The upper limit of that bracket increased from $233,350 to $315,000, roughly a 35% increase. Only about 8% of taxpayers pay income tax in this bracket or above. Moreover, pre-TCJA there was no marriage penalty only for the bottom two brackets. Post-TCJA, there is a marriage penalty only for the top two brackets.

Table 7 provides a comparison of tax brackets for tax years 2017 and 2018.

Table 7

2017 Marginal Tax Bracket

Income Range, MFJ

Income Range, Single

2018 Marginal Tax Bracket

Income Range, MFJ

Income Range, Single

10%

< $18,050

< $9325

10%

< $19,050

< $9525

15%

$18,050 to

$75,900

$9325 to

$37,950

12%

$19,050 to

$77,400

$9525 to

$38,700

25%

$75,900 to

$153,100

$37,950 to

$91,900

22%

$77,400 to

$165,000

$38,700 to

$82,500

28%

$153,100 to

$233,350

$91,900 to

$191,650

24%

$165,000 to

$315,000

$82,500 to

$157,500

33%

$233,350 to

$416,700

$191,650 to

$416,700

32%

$315,000 to

$400,000

$157,500 to

$200,000

35%

$416,700 to

$470,000

$416,700 to

$418,400

35%

$400,000 to

$600,000

$200,000 to

$500,000

39.6%

> $470,000

> $418,400

37%

> $600,000

> $500,000

Some observations and qualifications: First, the standard deduction doubled between 2017 and 2018. On the other hand, the personal exemption amount was reduced to $0 until 2026, so there is no deduction for supporting dependents. However, the child tax credit was doubled and made available to taxpayers (married filing jointly) with adjusted gross income up to $400,000, rather than a “mere” $110,000. For those who previously itemized deductions, most no longer benefit from doing so. And high-income taxpayers with children benefitted the most from their living arrangements.

Compressing tax brackets from the top: repeal of § 68: Even pre-TCJA, only higher-income taxpayers itemized deductions. Post-TCJA, only the highest-income taxpayers realistically have the opportunity to reduce their taxable income through itemization, and the cost to the Treasury will be high simply because these are the taxpayers who are in the highest tax brackets. They reduce their taxable income relative to all other taxpayers—and other taxpayers do not have similar opportunities to reduce their taxable income. Consistent with this analysis, there has been a precipitous reduction in tax expenditures from deductions that now only high-income earners can avail themselves of, notably: home mortgage interest, state and local taxes (including property taxes on owner-occupied homes and other state and local taxes), and charitable contributions other than for education and health. The qualified business income deduction for pass-through entities (section 199A), while not providing an itemized deduction, will have the effect of benefitting mainly high-income taxpayers. The contribution of these provisions of the TCJA to bracketology was to compress tax brackets from the top.

Pre-TCJA, the effect of bracket compression from the top was mitigated at least somewhat by the overall limitation on itemized deductions of section 68, i.e., a reduction of up to 80% of a taxpayer’s itemized deductions. The overall limit on deductions restored some progressivity that is lost when only high-income taxpayers can avail themselves of itemized deductions. The TCJA suspended this limitation until 2026. Repeal of section 68 benefitted only taxpayers whose AGI exceeded $300,000 (married filing jointly) (or $275,000 (head of household) or $250,000 (single)), indexed for inflation. This suspension provides a benefit that increases as a taxpayer’s AGI increases, thereby making the Code even less progressive than the brackets imply. Lower-income taxpayers were likely unaware of section 68, and its temporary repeal is another measure benefitting only high-income taxpayers, hidden in plain sight. The TCJA has made the Code more regressive in effect, and more effective in increasing inequality.

Comment: The TCJA accelerates the trend to reduce progressivity and increase regressivity and hides this fact in plain sight. It shrank the tax base on which income taxes are paid most aggressively for high-income taxpayers, particularly married ones. Congress managed this achievement by effectively making the most commonly used itemized deductions available only to the high-income taxpayers who can itemize and limited several deductions most commonly used by lower-income taxpayers. It also fashioned a qualified business income deduction (section 199A) that ratchets the tax base downward the most for many high-income taxpayers. Section 199A applies a potentially uniform 20% of income reduction—thereby invoking the same math characteristics as earlier descriptions of tax cuts to disguise the fact that it gives disproportionate benefits to high-income earners. The deduction increases as a taxpayer profits more. Ostensibly, these deductions are available to all, but clearly the highest-income earners are the greatest beneficiaries of this restructuring of the Code. The lexicon of tax cuts has become “big and beautiful,” defined as less progressive or more regressive.

VII. The Upside-Downness and Unfairness of Deductions and the Rightside-Upness of Credits

The TCJA provided hefty tax benefits to the highest income earners and notably made them the only ones able to claim itemized deductions. Deductions and exclusions from taxable income are worth to the taxpayer (and cost the Treasury) an amount equal to the amount of the deduction or exclusion multiplied by the tax bracket of the taxpayer. Adding up the total tax savings of taxpayers’ yields a “tax expenditure budget”—hidden government spending that is every bit as real as specific congressionally authorized expenditures made from the federal treasury. These observations have several ramifications.

First: an expenditure that a taxpayer may deduct costs the high-income taxpayer less than the same expenditure made by a lower-income taxpayer—the opposite of progressivity. For example, it costs a high-income taxpayer in the 37% marginal tax bracket 63 cents to contribute one deductible dollar to a charity; it costs a lower-income taxpayer in the 10% marginal tax bracket 90 cents to contribute one deductible dollar to a charity. This seems perverse (“upside-down”), but it is the logical outcome of a progressive tax system coupled with itemized deductions from the tax base. The same is true of exclusions from gross income or deductions that adjust a taxpayer’s gross income. The “votes” that high-income taxpayers cast for the things that generate a tax benefit cost them less than the votes lower-income taxpayers might cast. This is especially important when high-income taxpayers support advocacy groups that ostensibly serve an educational or policy research purpose, but which in fact work against the interests of low-income taxpayers who must implicitly subsidize this “education.”

Second, itemized deductions exacerbate whatever inequality of return taxpayers derive from making expenditures that they may itemize as deductions. This occurs whenever a tax-subsidized expenditure produces basis in an asset. To illustrate: assume that two taxpayers borrow $750,000 to purchase a personal residence and take out a $750,000 mortgage. Assume that both taxpayers pay interest of $25,000 (which assumes an interest rate of 3.33%) on their respective loans. The net cost to a taxpayer in the 37% tax bracket who can itemize the borrowing of $750,000 is $15,750, i.e., ($25,000 – $9,250). The net cost to a taxpayer in the 10% tax bracket who can itemize the borrowing of $750,000 is 43% more, viz., $22,500, i.e., ($25,000 – $2,500). Upon sale of the home—or any asset that these two taxpayers might purchase with borrowed funds—an identical sale price will generate a higher rate of return for the high-bracket taxpayer. The high-bracket taxpayer benefits twice: first from the subsidy to acquire the home, and second for the parity of tax treatment with those whose acquisition was not subsidized but whose bases are the same. This, too, is merely the mathematical consequence of progressive tax rates coupled with permitting reductions of taxable income through itemized deductions.

Third: Higher-income taxpayers who can itemize will reduce their taxable income and so also reduce their income tax liability relatively more than those who do not itemize deductions but who make at least some expenditures similar in amount. Return to our two taxpayers who purchase a home for $750,000, one of whom itemizes deductions when the other does not. The high-bracket itemizer reduces his or her tax liability in the example by $9,250 for having paid $25,000 in acquisition indebtedness interest. The nonitemizer who makes the same interest payment does not reduce his or her tax liability at all (or at least much less) for having made such an expenditure. This outcome is the result of allowing itemization only to taxpayers who make a certain combination of expenditures of sufficient magnitude that are apt to be unrelated to the one specific expenditure that both taxpayers have made.

Fourth: credits against tax liability equal to a certain percentage of an expenditure provide “rightside-up” incentives and tax benefits. Suppose that the deduction for home mortgage interest were instead fashioned as a 23% credit against income tax liability, i.e., a taxpayer’s income tax liability would be reduced by 23% of the amount that a taxpayer paid in mortgage interest. All taxpayers who paid $25,000 in acquisition indebtedness interest would reduce their income tax liability by $5,750, i.e., 23% of $25,000. The after-tax cost to all taxpayers of borrowing $750,000 at 3.33% interest would be $19,250, i.e., ($25,000 – $5,750). Taxpayers in a (hypothetical) 23% tax bracket would derive the same tax benefit from an (available) deduction for such an expenditure that they would derive from such a credit. Those in higher brackets would derive a smaller tax benefit from such a credit than from a deduction. Those in brackets less than 23% would derive a greater benefit than they derive from a deduction. Establishing the appropriate credit percentage would only be a question of what taxpayers we want to favor relatively more than others. Lower-income taxpayers would benefit more from a favored expenditure than high-income taxpayers—“right-side-up” and progressive—with respect to our expectations and policy desires.

Fifth: transforming all itemized deductions into tax credits would require that Congress be (more) specific in its policy directives. Home mortgage interest, charitable contributions, state and local taxes, etc. would have to be worthy of tax benefits on their own—as opposed to the current system of providing tax benefits only to high-income taxpayers who make some combination of expenditures that amount to more than the standard deduction amount.

Sixth: The isolation of tax benefits from each other would make visible the tax benefits and their costs that Congress is providing to which taxpayers. The fact that high-income taxpayers receive more in tax subsidies to borrow money to purchase a (costly) personal home than the entire budget of the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) might be clearer if not buried in some combination of expenditures. Perhaps more enlightened tax policy would emerge.

These points are not new. The disadvantages of itemized deductions as a policy tool are well-understood, just as the advantages of credits are well-understood. A pitfall of efforts to improve the Code through measures that alter below-the-line deductions and the standard deduction is that they cannot make the Code fairer and will likely make it more unfair. They are, to one degree or another, available only to taxpayers with relatively more income. Teasing lower-income taxpayers by hiding tax benefits for the wealthy in the plain sight of itemized deductions merely obscures the workings of Congress from its constituents. Measures that double the standard deduction, curtail some deductions, eliminate some deductions, and limit others exacerbate the unfairness of itemization. Congress could make the Code fairer simply by converting deductions into tax credits and eliminating itemized deductions. It should do so. Instead of a standard deduction, Congress should provide for a “standard credit.” The credit should be a fixed percentage of the amount that is currently the standard deduction, say 20%. Such a measure would take account of a taxpayer’s filing status.

Many of the TCJA’s provisions expire at the end of 2025. Those with high incomes who benefit significantly relative to others from the TCJA will issue calls to make its measures permanent. Congress should not heed such calls. Instead, it should pursue a path of deliberate customization of directives for all taxpayers. That means replacing itemized deductions with credits based on a percentage of what a taxpayer spends on a particular tax-favored item above a percentage-of-AGI floor. This would decouple different and unrelated itemized deductions that the Code currently amalgamates. Limiting tax benefits to expenditures above a floor of a given percentage of a taxpayer’s AGI enables Congress to customize such benefits so that particular expenditures for certain specific items will have a similar impact on all taxpayers. The 7.5% floor on medical expenditures provides an example. Seven and one half percent of a taxpayer’s AGI will impact high-, middle-, and low-income taxpayers similarly. Transforming itemized deductions and at least some of the deductions that adjust gross income to tax credits will make tax benefits for certain expenditures available to all.

As already noted, the percentage of a creditable expenditure is worth the same amount to a taxpayer in a tax bracket equal to the percentage of the credit as an (available) deduction of the same expenditure. Thus, an expenditure that is 23% creditable benefits taxpayers in brackets lower than 23% more than a (realistically) available deduction would, and benefits taxpayers in brackets higher than 23% less than an available deduction would. While the nudge that the Tax Code gives to participate in the shaping of our society would decrease as incomes increase, such credits would come closer to equalizing the “votes” of all taxpayers/consumers, an idea that addresses the decreasing marginal utility of money. Transforming below-the-line deductions into credits would eliminate the need for an overall limit on itemized deductions.

As the sunsetting of various provisions of the TCJA draws near, Congress should seize the opportunity to make the Code fairer by enabling more—perhaps most—taxpayers to participate in the “democratic” process that the Code creates by changing all itemized deductions into tax credits. Tax credits would be given for a percentage of expenditures above various thresholds of a taxpayer’s AGI. The percentage should be 23%—a figure above the marginal tax bracket of the great majority of taxpayers and below the marginal tax bracket of the highest income earners. Politically, however, this is probably a very tough sell.

VIII. More Observations and Conclusions: How We Should Implement Tax Policy

Implicitly the pre-TCJA Code defined the “ideal” taxpayer—the aspirational one who “chose” to contribute to making the society that we want. Home ownership. Stable, thriving communities. Charitable pluralism. The TCJA radically changed these ideals. No longer are home ownership and strong state and local governments objectives that we should pursue if we are not wealthy. The same is true of support for public benefit charitable organizations. Instead, we should endeavor to be nonprofessional autonomous owners of businesses. It is difficult to see that this is better.

The price of such autonomy is one that low-to-middle-income taxpayers soon enough will not be able to pay. Pre-TCJA, the Code made employment the seat of many benefits, and many of those were safety-net provisions. Employers deduct most expenditures for procuring certain favored benefits for their employees, and employees exclude the value of these benefits from their gross income. The income needed to pay for such benefits was never subject to income tax. High tax brackets for high-income employees yielded tax savings that employers could capture to subsidize purchase of group benefits for the benefit of their lower-income employees, e.g., health insurance, life insurance. This model helped to mold the fabric of American society. As higher tax brackets decreased, the viability of this model also decreased. Leveraging tax benefits in favor of the wealthy assures that subsidies now more often run from low-income taxpayers to high-income taxpayers, and that inequality increases. Encouraging employers to make their “employees” into independent contractors will effectively move the locus of benefits to taxpayers, and, presumably, to their families. Whether employment was a suitable locus, at least it was quite naturally a source of funds to pay for such benefits. The traditional family is not obviously a more suitable locus, especially low-to-middle-income families.

The TCJA suspended the dependency exemption, but also considerably enhanced the child tax credit and made it available to the great majority of taxpayers, even relatively high-income taxpayers. The child tax credit was originally intended to help reduce poverty. A $2,000-per-child tax credit for taxpayers (married filing jointly) with AGIs up to $400,000 is not a poverty-reduction measure. The credit does little to address the migration of responsibilities from employers to low-to-middle-income families. At the same time, the TCJA did nothing to enhance the increasingly meager assistance it makes available for the child and dependent care expenses of working spouses. The impact of this “failure” will fall most heavily on low-income taxpayers, whether or not married.

In discussions such as these it is sometimes observed that: “You’re either at the table or on the menu.” When tax legislation must eventually deliver revenue neutrality, a reduction in one taxpayer’s income tax liability perforce requires that another taxpayer be on the menu. When Congress enacted the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, high-income business owners were at the table. On the menu were service professionals, state and local governments, “little people,” and employees.

Also on the menu were the preferences of the aspirational class. Post-TCJA, there is less tax reason to purchase a home, to live in high-tax jurisdictions that provide good local services and infrastructure, to incur other deductible expenses, e.g., medical expenses, charitable expenses. There is no “tax” reason to look for a better job, to move to a better job, to incur “miscellaneous” expenses—including employment expenses of an employee, to give money to charities, or to ride a bicycle to work. Such objectives have been jettisoned in favor of a business owner or investment class. None of this is better.

The Code should not be an instrument that the wealthy exploit at the expense of “the little people.” The TCJA enhanced the wealth of those who can derive more wealth by amassing income in a manner subject to low rates of income tax, i.e., ownership of corporate equities and mutual funds. The centerpiece of the TCJA’s cutting of individuals’ taxes is the qualified business income (QBI) deduction of section 199A. Section 199A will not encourage investment or job creation beyond what exists without it. It simply diverts taxes paid by “the little people” to the subsidization of high-income taxpayers. This Article has argued that the TCJA enhanced the Code’s capacity to increase inequality without an offsetting societal benefit. Unhealthy divisions within our society will worsen. If Congress wants to encourage investment or job creation, it should encourage it directly by granting tax credits for investment in job creation. It has already done this in sections 42, 45A, 45D, 45F, 47, and 51. Maybe there is room for additional similar provisions.

By spending its tax cuts mostly on high-income taxpayers, Congress took a pass on addressing what many regard as the most pressing social problem of our time, i.e., rising inequality. In exacerbating that problem, the TCJA was not an improvement. The TCJA will change the fabric of American society. That social fabric will not turn on a dime. But over time, we may observe that house prices are a little lower than they would otherwise be as sellers can no longer capture any of the tax benefit accorded a borrower who incurs acquisition debt. State and local governments will gradually raise less tax revenue and so provide fewer services or lower-quality services. As the seat of social benefits gradually moves from the employment relationship to the individual (and his or her family), many lower-income taxpayers will not be able to keep up; perhaps governments and charities will step up, but probably not. Charitable giving will increasingly become the domain of the wealthy, and they will have a greater say in what public charities do and do not do. Wealth will become more concentrated as inequality increases, with the unfortunate consequences of wealth concentration. We should watch closely so that we do not fail to observe the changes. This Article argues that those changes have not and will not make American society better. Less use of itemized deductions and greater use of tax credits might make American society better, but—

Better to have left bad enough alone.

    Author