Unlike fishery development, Arctic shipping and maritime transportation involving the movement of vessels across international boundaries and waters chiefly require international cooperation and participation. Therefore, the importance of American and Norwegian national law pales in comparison to a well-established corpus of relevant international laws and regulations. Neither the United States nor Norway has “developed a distinctive set of rules or standards for commercial shipping,” excluding the provincial governments of Alaska and Svalbard. Blue Governance, supra.
In the absence of national law and regulation, the Arctic relies on international structures to set the standard. For example, the United States and Norway, as members of the International Maritime Organization, are bound to the International Maritime Organization’s International Code for Ships Operating in Polar Waters (the Polar Code). The Polar Code “cover[s] the full range of shipping-related matters relevant to navigation in waters surrounding the two poles . . . and, equally important, the protection of the unique environment and eco-systems of the polar regions.” IMO, Polar Code. Environmental advocates expressed concern that the Polar Code promotes the Arctic’s use as a shipping route while concurrently failing to insulate the region from consequences endemic to shipping activity—especially “the operational discharge of oil and oily mixtures, noxious liquid chemicals, sewage, garbage, and air pollution from ships that are the main cause of damage to the marine environment.” Nengye Liu, Can the Polar Code Save the Arctic?, Am. Soc’y of Int’l L. (Mar. 22, 2016). However, the Polar Code also recognizes that the “era of Arctic shipping” is here and, rather than wait for disaster, seeks to proactively legislate this formerly deregulated arena. Id. The Polar Code “provides uniform standards for the shipping industry to embrace” and “enhances current regulation of shipping activities.” Id. While certainly imperfect, the Polar Code helps industry and the environment by creating structure. This structure may fail to flawlessly satisfy either industry or advocates, but it provides reasonable balance between the Arctic’s inevitable commercialization and protection of the region’s natural wonders. The Polar Code is a prime example of Blue Economy thinking because it draws feasible compromise between industry and environmental advocates to better proliferate the quality and quantity of sustainable practices.
The United States and Norway both accelerated Arctic development upon discovering immense oil and gas sources. Each sought to nurture and expand a new national energy source to sate domestic demand and increase their share in the lucrative energy market. Meanwhile, myriad environmental challenges from climate change to the pollution crisis propelled a groundswell of support for policies to better preserve nature and its resources. These relatively recent political and cultural realities create tension between the demand for energy and for preservation.
Despite certain economic and political similarities, the United States and Norway are in different positions to apply Blue Economy principles to offshore oil and gas development. It is arguable that the United States, as a whole, benefits from Arctic oil and gas development in the form of lower energy costs. However, Alaska is the only beneficiary of the other direct benefits such as innovation, taxation, job creation, and community identity. Thus, apart from the potential for reduced energy prices, much of the benefit of Arctic energy development in the United States is highly localized in nature. See Blue Governance, supra.
On the other hand, Norway is asymmetrically dependent on Arctic oil and gas production. Norway is the second largest European gas and oil exporter, after the Russian Federation. See Nora Buli et al., Norway Not Ready to Let Go of Oil, Gas in Push for Greener Energy, Reuters (June 11, 2021). Estimates indicate that nearly 20% of its gross domestic product and over 60% of its total exports result from the offshore oil and gas industry. See Blue Governance, supra. This presents a strong contrast to the American example. In Norway, industry’s direct benefits (i.e., reduced energy prices, job opportunities, taxation, innovation, community identity) are far more suffuse, pervasive, and imbedded for a far larger percentage of Norwegian communities, suggesting that the Norwegian economy is not as diversified as the American economy. As a practical matter, therefore, Norway has less flexibility to make any determinations that could diminish the Arctic offshore oil and gas industry. This reality gives industry substantial strength to guide policymaking and inhibits the compromise necessary for the Blue Economy to prosper.
Legal Challenges Disrupt the Blue Economy Balance
Compromise and conciliation are not currently in vogue, and so the Blue Economy, regardless of its success or failures, is always subject to partisan rancor. Moreover, on a substantive level, what defines the right balance between sustainability and utilization is a moving target. Therefore, it is unsurprising that Blue Economy–based policies regularly face an abundance of legal challenges from stakeholders across the ideological spectrum. However, challenges to oil and gas drilling in both the United States and Norway have resulted in very different outcomes, as discussed further in the examples below. These episodes, quite different in circumstance and outcome, reveal constituencies in both countries that are actively trying to subvert the compromise and conciliation necessary for Blue Economy implementation.
Politically and legally, particularly in the environmental regulation context, the United States is in a tumultuous period. The Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act (OCSLA) is a federal law that, among other things, grants the president of the United States power to “withdraw from disposition any of the unleased lands of the outer Continental Shelf.” 43 U.S.C. § 1341(a). Based on this statute, President Obama issued Executive Order 13754 to withdraw 90% of the U.S.-controlled Arctic Ocean from leasing for oil and gas drilling. See NRDC, League of Conservation Voters v. Trump (Offshore Leasing Ban) (Apr. 13, 2021). On April 28, 2017, President Trump issued Executive Order 13795 to reverse this withdrawal. The Trump administration argued that if OCSLA granted the executive power to confer protections, then OCSLA grants the executive power to revoke those protections. The U.S. District Court for the District of Alaska disagreed with this assertion, writing, “in light of the text and context of Section 12(a) of OCSLA, the Court holds . . . Executive Order 13795 is unlawful and invalid.” League of Conservation Voters v. Trump, 363 F. Supp. 3d 1013, 1031 (D. Alaska 2019). The Trump administration appealed the decision, but the case was dropped after President Biden issued Executive Order 13990, ending President Trump’s attempt to revoke withdrawal. NRDC, Offshore Leasing Ban, supra.
Norway also faces a consistency problem. The nation was one of the first to sign the 2015 Paris Agreement. Simultaneously, Norway increased oil and gas development permitting, issuing 700 exploring licenses in the last decade (more than the prior 47 years combined), with over half of the permits issued after the country signed the Paris Climate Agreement. See Silje Ask Lundberg et al., The Aggressive Explorer, Oil Change Int’l (2022). This contradiction is further exacerbated by a provision to the Norwegian Constitution adopted in 1992. Article 112 states, in part, that “every person has the right to an environment that is conducive to health and to a natural environment whose productivity and diversity are maintained. Natural resources shall be managed on the basis of comprehensive long-term considerations which will safeguard this right for future generations as well.” Nor. Const., art. 112. However, what specific rights Article 112 actually confers is a cause of consternation in Norwegian politics. The Norwegian government interpreted Article 112 as a statement of intent, not actually granting enforceable rights or duties. Pursuant to this interpretation, Norway continues to develop offshore oil and gas sources, recently proclaiming that the “oil and gas sector will be developed, not dismantled.” Norway’s Oil and Gas Sector will Not Be Dismantled, New Government Says, BBC News (Oct. 13, 2021). However, recent parliamentary elections indicate that Norwegian voters see climate and emissions as a “key issue.” Nora Buli et al., Norway Not Ready to Let Go of Oil, Gas in Push for Greener Energy, Reuters (June 11, 2021). In large part, the current administration’s “landslide” victory in the parliamentary elections is credited to a campaign focused on climate and energy issues. Nora Buli et al., Norway’s Left-Wing Opposition Wins in a Landslide, Coalition Talks Next, Reuters (Sept. 14, 2021).