Sources: (a) 2022 Mergerstat Financial Advisor Rank by Total Value, 2023 FactSet Review at 74. (b) 2022 Mergerstat Legal Advisor Ranking by Total Value, 2023 FactSet Review at 75.
Proxy Contests. As discussed more fully in chapters 5 and 8, a proxy contest can involve, inter alia, (1) an attempt by an insurgent individual or group to gain control of the board of a publicly held company, and (2) an attempt by a potential Acquirer to replace the board of a publicly held Target company with the purpose of facilitating the acquisition of the Target by the Acquirer. Proxy contests may also involve the efforts of an activist shareholder, such as Carl Icahn, to use such a technique to gain control of the board for the purpose of changing the Target corporation’s business policies. Activist proxy contests are generally addressed in the next section.
The number of these contests ranged from 102 in 2018 to 85 in 2022, with the number going straight down yearly from 2018 to 2022. The reasons for this drop are not clear to this author; however, it can be expected that the SEC’s new “Universal Proxy” rules, which were adopted in 2021, could have had a depressing impact on the number of proxy contests.
Activist Shareholders. As discussed in chapter 28, activist shareholders are involved in many proxy contests. However, the activist does not prevail often; for example, in 2022 the Activist prevailed in eight of the 85 contests. As indicated next, an activist may employ a short selling strategy.
Short Selling and the Attack on Ichan Enterprises. Although short selling strategies are not included in the Summary of New Developments, there could be a heightened interest in short selling strategies as a result of the short selling attack on Icahn Enterprises, controlled by Carl Ichan, arguably one of the “Kings of Short Sellers.”
A traditional short selling investment strategy could include the following steps taken by the Short Seller:
- The Short Seller borrows stock of the Short Selling Target;
- The Short Seller then sells the borrowed stock on the open market at the going price, say $20 per share;
- The Short Seller then talks down the price of the stock through publicly distributed analyses that show that the stock of the Short Selling Target is over-priced; and
- After the expected fall in the price of the stock of the Short Selling Target, say to $12 per share, the Short Seller purchases the stock at $12 per share and uses that stock to close out the original borrowed stock position, which was $20 per share.
When the dust settles, the Short Seller has a profit of $8 per share before expenses.
Thus, rather than following the usual investing strategy of buying low and then selling high, the short seller sells high and then buys low, with that stock used to close out the high price position that was financed with debt.
As discussed in chapter 28, Icahn Enterprises, L.P., a publicly held firm controlled by Carl Icahn, came under a short selling attack in 2023 by a short selling firm, Hindenberg Research. As a result of that attack, there was a significant drop in the trading price of Ichan Enterprises, leading one source to title its report on the situation as “Icahn Got Icahn’ed.”
As a result of this situation, it can be expected that there will be a heightened interest in short-selling strategies.
V. Part IV, Cross Border M&A (Sections 1:7.32 through 1:7.36 of the Article)
In General. Chapters 19 through 22 address various aspects of inbound (i.e., acquisitions by a Foreign Acquirer of a US. Target) and outbound (i.e., acquisitions of by a U.S. Acquirer of a Foreign Target) cross border M&A. This section provides a high-level review of some of the financial and economic considerations of this activity.
Wachtell Lipton publishes an annual Cross-Border M&A Guide, and the 2023 Guide, which was issued in early 2023 covering principally 2022 activity, provides the following overview of cross border M&A activity during 2022:
[Cross Border M&A Generally:] Cross-border merger and acquisition (“M&A”) transactions are a significant part of the global M&A landscape, representing approximately a third of all deal activity annually in recent years.
[The “Reversion to the Mean”:] After a record-shattering year for M&A in 2021, the year 2022 represented a reversion to the mean in terms of M&A volume, reflecting the impact of [1] Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, [2] interest rate spikes, [3] challenging debt markets, [4] ongoing supply chain disruption, and [5] the Covid-19 pandemic.
Worldwide M&A volume decreased to $3.6 trillion in 2022, compared to an average of $4.3 trillion annually over the prior ten years (in 2022 dollars). Cross-border deal volume in 2022 was $1.1 trillion, equivalent to 32% of global M&A volume and consistent with the average proportion (35%) over the prior decade.
[Inbound Transactions:] Acquisitions of U.S. companies by non-U.S. acquirors constituted $217 billion in transaction volume and represented 19% of 2022 cross-border M&A volume.
It is interesting to note that, as would be expected, the bulk of M&A activity takes place in North America and Europe.
The Impact of the Exchange Rate. The foreign exchange rate can have a significant impact on inbound acquisitions and outbound acquisitions. For example, if the dollar becomes weaker (that is, it takes less of a foreign currency to purchase a dollar) when measured against the currencies of the major trading partners of the United States, then (1) it will be cheaper for potential Acquirers located in such countries to buy U.S. Targets, and (2) at the same time, it will become more expensive for potential U.S. Acquirers to buy Targets located in such countries. The reverse is true if the dollar becomes stronger (that is, it takes more of a foreign currency to purchase a dollar).
The UNCTAD World Investment Report. This Report, which was not available at the time of the writing of the Summary of New Developments, gives the following high-level overview regarding the level of M&A in 2022:
The multitude of crises and challenges on the global stage – the war in Ukraine, high food and energy prices, risks of recession and debt pressures in many countries – negatively affected . . . cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As), [which] were especially shaken by stiffer financing conditions, rising interest rates and uncertainty in financial markets.
It can be expected that the war between Israel and Hamas, which began in October 2023 (and is still raging as this article is being written in early November 2023) will have a depressing impact on cross border M&A involving a company located in, or doing significant business in, the Middle East.
Another section of the UNCTAD Report provides the following observations on the M&A component of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), which is investment by a company located in one country, such as the U.S., into another country, such as France:
In 2022, FDI flows to developed countries as a group fell by 37 per cent, largely in Europe and North America. In the other developed countries, they rose . . . In the United States, flows declined by 26 per cent to $285 billion, mainly due to the halving of cross-border M&As, which generally account for a large share of inflows. Among the 10 largest [M&A transactions], only one occurred in the United States. The decrease in M&As had a direct impact on the equity component of FDI, which fell by 35 per cent. . . . [I]n Canada [FDI] decreased by 20 per cent to $53 billion, as cross-border M&A sales fell by 37 per cent.
While cross-border M&As declined to $11 billion, announced greenfield [new investment] projects rose 28 per cent, to $25 billion.
U.S. Acquirers of Foreign Targets, and Foreign Acquirers of U.S Targets. From 2018 to 2023, the number of Foreign Targets of U.S. Acquirers in outbound acquisitions exceeded the number of U.S. Targets of Foreign Acquirers in inbound acquisitions. Thus, over this period there were, and generally there are, more U.S. Acquirers of Foreign Targets than Foreign Acquirers of U.S. Targets. However, the number of inbound and outbound acquisitions for each of those years were not dramatically different. For example, in 2022, there were (1) 2,519 acquisitions by U.S. Acquirers of Foreign Targets and (2) 1,842 acquisitions by Foreign Acquirers of U.S. Targets.
In elaborating on one aspect of inbound activity, a 2021 article entitled American Companies You Didn’t Know Were Owned By Chinese Investors, contains, inter alia, discussions of the following U.S. companies that have significant Chinese shareholders: (1) AMC; (2) Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp (SAIC), which has a partnership with GM; (3) Spotify; (4) Hilton; and (5) GE’s appliance division.
CFIUS-Type Restrictions. As a result of the growth in cross border acquisitions and ownership, many countries have adopted investment restrictions for investments by foreign persons similar to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) law in the United States, which is discussed in chapter 19. On this development, the UNCTAD World Investment Report 2023 says:
[T]he trend observed in recent years towards introducing or tightening national security regulations that affect FDI in strategic industries continued and expanded. The approach to FDI screening varies significantly from country to country, resulting in a patchwork of different regimes. Together, countries with FDI screening regimes accounted for 71 per cent of global FDI flows and 68 per cent of FDI stock in 2022, compared with 66 and 70 per cent, respectively, in 2021. Furthermore, the number of merger and acquisition (M&A) deals valued at more than $50 million withdrawn by the parties for regulatory or political concerns in 2022 increased by a third, and their value increased by 69 per cent.
These foreign CFIUS-type restrictions are discussed in chapter 20, which deals with outbound acquisitions.
VI. Part V, Other M&A Issues (Sections 1:7.37 through 1:7.43 of the Article)
Recent Developments with Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs). SPACs, which are addressed generally in chapter 6, are companies organized through a blank check initial public offering (IPO). In these transactions, at the time of the IPO, the issuing company has no business other than the plan to use the funds raised in the IPO to acquire an operating company. When a SPAC completes an acquisition, the transaction is sometimes referred to as a de-SPAC. Obviously, SPAC transactions are heavily regulated by the SEC.
As indicated in the Summary of New Developments article, the number of SPACs between 2018 and 2022 has been on a “roller coaster” ride with (1) 2018 and 2019 having 29 SPACs each; (2) 2020 jumping to 98; (3) 2021 more than doubling at 210; and (4) 2027 more than halving to 127. Also, through August 2023, there were just 22, an 80% decline.
Introduction to Blockchain and Cryptocurrency M&A. Although this topic is introduced in the Summary of New Developments, this author has limited expertise in this area. However, it appears that the SEC disclosures by Coinbase, which was the first major crypto company to go public in an initial public offering, can provide helpful information on this topic. For example, Coinbase’s April 1, 2021, IPO prospectus provides the following background information on Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency:
Bitcoin sparked a revolution by proving the ability to create digital scarcity: a unique and finite digital asset whose ownership could be proven with certainty. This innovation laid the foundation for an open financial system. Today, all forms of value – from those natively created online such as in-game digital goods to traditional securities like equities and bonds – can be represented digitally, as crypto assets. Like the bits of data that power the internet, these crypto assets can be dynamically transmitted, stored, and programmed to serve the needs of an increasingly digital and globally interconnected economy.
Today, we enable customers around the world to store their savings in a wide range of crypto assets, including Bitcoin and USD Coin, and to instantly transfer value globally with the tap of a finger on a smartphone..
Coinbase’s more recent SEC filings may be helpful in understanding this topic as well.
For an excellent review of many of the legal issues impacting cryptocurrencies in the context of M&A, see the following article Blockchain M&A: The Next Link in the Chain. Among other things this article addresses the following issues:
- U.S. Federal Securities Laws Considerations. [See chapter 6]
- Commodities Regulation Considerations.
- Federal and State Money Transmission Considerations.
- U.S. Anti-Money Laundering Considerations.
- Sanctions Considerations.
- 1940 Act Considerations.
- IP Rights Considerations.
- Privacy and Cybersecurity Considerations.
- CFIUS Considerations [See chapter 19]
- Tax Considerations [See chapter 9]
The Impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) on M&A. Two lawyers from Wachtell Lipton paint the following picture of the potential impact of ESG on M&A in 2022:
In the past year, ESG has played an increasingly prominent role in activist campaigns, most dramatically exemplified by Engine No. 1’s success in electing three directors to Exxon Mobil’s board, as well as by the development of the two-front activist “pincer” attack in which an ESG activist attack is followed by an attack from an activist focusing on financial returns. Activists have also leveraged ESG to further their M&A theses: Third Point called for the breakup of Royal Dutch Shell, Elliott called for the separation of SSE’s renewables business and Bluebell called on Glencore to divest its coal business.
ESG’s influence is also increasingly evident in the context of M&A negotiations and larger deal considerations. As one example, it has become ever more critical for acquirors to comprehensively diligence the ESG profile of potential Targets—a result of the SEC’s increased focus on the adequacy of ESG disclosures and the growing legal, financial and reputational costs of ESG underperformance.
This topic is discussed from a due diligence perspective in chapter 3.
The Impact of ChatGPT and Other Artificial Intelligence (AI) Firms on M&A. Business activity with AI is fast moving as indicated by the announcement in January 2023 by Microsoft of the expansion of its partnership with OpenAI, a leader in the AI business. A Microsoft press release on the transaction explained:
Today, we [Microsoft] are announcing the third phase of our long-term partnership with OpenAI through a multiyear, multibillion dollar investment to accelerate AI breakthroughs to ensure these benefits are broadly shared with the world.
This agreement follows our previous investments in 2019 and 2021. It extends our ongoing collaboration across AI supercomputing and research and enables each of us to independently commercialize the resulting advanced AI technologies.
Supercomputing at scale – Microsoft will increase our investments in the development and deployment of specialized supercomputing systems to accelerate OpenAI’s groundbreaking independent AI research. We will also continue to build out Azure’s leading AI infrastructure to help customers build and deploy their AI applications on a global scale.
New AI-powered experiences – Microsoft will deploy OpenAI’s models across our consumer and enterprise products and introduce new categories of digital experiences built on OpenAI’s technology . . . .
Exclusive cloud provider – As OpenAI’s exclusive cloud provider, Azure [a computer system] will power all OpenAI workloads across research, products and API services.
Obviously, this is a very complex topic, and the discussion here and in the Summary of New Developments is designed only to alert the reader to some of the issues related to AI.
Preliminary Report on M&A Activity in 2023. This section of the Summary of New Developments article discusses some of the M&A developments occurring in 2023 that are not discussed in the preceding sections. The developments discussed here generally occurred after the submission of the New Developments sections to PLI at the end of June 2023 and before September 30, 2023, several days before the publication of the Summary of New Developments on the Penn Statim.
This section of the article shows that both worldwide “Value” and “Number of Deals” were down dramatically through August 2023. With respect to the dollar size of deals, through August 2023, there were twenty-nine deals with an acquisition price of $5 billion or more, whereas in the same period during 2023 there were forty-nine deals of that size.
VII. Conclusion
In closing, it must be noted that the above discussion addresses only some of the many issues addressed in the Summary of New Developments. The Summary can be accessed free of charge on the Penn Statim website.