Is the Consumer Welfare Standard Misguided?
Lawrence J. White, Rethinking Antitrust (March 5, 2021). Forthcoming, Milken Institute Review. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3760747
Recently, there has been much discussion about the future of the consumer welfare standard in antitrust analysis, at least as is commonly defined as narrowly focused on the effect of conduct or a merger on price and output. Some in the antitrust community argue that the agencies should expand the scope of antitrust, a call amplified by the antitrust challenges to the perceived political, economic, and media dominance of “big tech”—Facebook, Amazon, Apple, and Google in particular.
Notably, in a paper written prior to her becoming Chair of the Federal Trade Commission, Lina Khan argued that this “narrow focus” of the consumer welfare standard—exploring whether a merger or practice increased prices or lowered output—is
misguided. It betrays legislative history, which reveals that Congress passed the antitrust laws to promote a host of political economic ends—including our interests as workers, producers, entrepreneurs, and citizens. It also mistakenly supplants concern about process and structure (i.e., whether power is sufficiently distributed to keep markets competitive) with a calculation regarding outcome (i.e., whether consumers are materially better off).
Khan notes further that the conventional consumer welfare standard is also too narrow in that it ignores how substantial market concentration can result in supplier and producer price and profit squeezes, market instability (e.g., allowing markets to become dependent on firms that were permitted to become too big to allow their failure), and a lack of media diversity.
Khan (at 1) recently emphasized this more expansive role of antitrust in outlining goals for her FTC tenure:
[W]e need to take a holistic approach to identifying harms, recognizing that antitrust and consumer protection violations harm workers and independent businesses as well as consumers. Focusing on power asymmetries and the unlawful practices those imbalances enable will help to ensure our efforts are geared towards tackling the most significant harms across markets, including those directed at marginalized communities.
In his recent paper, one noted antitrust scholar—Larry White—takes issue with expanding the scope of the consumer welfare standard to encompass additional criteria when evaluating mergers or exclusionary conduct. White (at 3) concludes that while there is much that might be done to increase the effectiveness of antitrust policy, “a more cautious approach is warranted lest antitrust become a scattershot substitute for focused remedies to offset some adverse social impacts of market forces.”
White notes (at 8) that one can ask what our experience has been in efforts to balance “the interests of suppliers, customers, and communities.” Those were the goals, under the rubric of advancing the “public interest,” in regulating the price, conduct, and entry by industry, such as telecommunications, airlines, and trucking. White (at 8) argues that because regulation displaced competition through detailed rules governing these aspects of the market, prices were higher, inefficiency was rampant, and innovation was effectively discouraged. Indeed, when regulation of these industries began unwinding in the 1970s and 1980s, competition increased substantially. In the airline industry, for example, prices fell while new ways of organizing routes through hub networks developed.
Although not mentioned by White, this kind of detailed regulation of prices, entry and quality also sets the stage for regulatory capture. Either through a “revolving door” of employment between the regulators and the firms being regulated or a regulator’s balancing of private interests of the parties and those of the regulator, the effect of regulation is in effect to define the public interest more in terms of the well-being of the regulated firms (and the regulator) rather than consumers.
Of course, deregulating the firms in these industries raised an entirely different set of competitive questions similar to those arising in other far less regulated markets. Under what circumstances should two airlines be allowed to merge? Under what circumstances should two long-distance providers be allowed to merge? For telecommunications in particular, the introduction of cellular service in the 1980s and 1990s dramatically changed the telecommunications environment so that the market looks far different from that of the mid-late 20th century. One might reasonably ask how rapidly this development would have occurred had much of telecommunications remained closed to competition.
White urges “restraint” when considering restructuring or otherwise breaking up firms in the name of increasing competition, reducing economic dominance, and increasing media diversity, particularly with regard to the “big tech” firms. For example, White notes (at 9) that there are proposals for the “slicing and dicing” of Facebook to create a number of “mini” Facebooks competing for patronage of consumers and advertisers.
White advises (at 9-10) that the “break-up” history in the U.S. is not a particularly helpful guide to a breakup of “big tech.” The divestitures required of Standard Oil and AT&T (the old Ma Bell) involved largely physical rather than intellectual assets that could be spun off into separate stand-alone companies.
White argues (at 9) that it is not clear how that split of the social network into mini-Facebooks would look. But suppose that social networks are characterized by substantial network effects that buttressed the dominance of Facebook, as is almost certain to be the case. Then, however many mini-Facebooks might result from antitrust action, substantial network effects could invariably lead to one network again dominating the others.
In addition, White (at 9) considers the argument that Facebook’s acquisition of WhatsApp and Instagram should be reversed by the agencies (and the courts) because of the possibility that both would have become stand-alone rivals to Facebook’s social network but for the acquisitions. The divestiture of WhatsApp and Instagram by Facebook could provide additional competition for Facebook as these two expand their social network reach. But White’s concern (at 9) is that these two applications may have become highly integrated into the Facebook ecosystem. If so, then undoing these mergers may not result in viable stand-alone entities even in the absence of the substantial network effect advantages of Facebook.
Although White does not support divestiture/breakup solutions in these high-tech industries, he also makes clear that he views current antitrust enforcement as generally too weak to maintain competitive markets. In particular, he notes the evidence that many mergers that have been cleared by the agencies as ones not likely to harm consumers have in fact increased prices post-merger. White (at 11) points specifically to the failure of the DOJ’s efforts to stop the AT&T/Time Warner merger (although arguably that was hardly the fault of the DOJ) and DOJ’s clearance of the Sprint/T-Mobile acquisition on the hope and prayer that Dish would become a viable cellular rival.
In addition to urging that the agencies be allocated additional funds to hire more enforcement staff, White (at 11) recommends that retrospectives on the “close-call” mergers should continue to be undertaken to help identify the extent to which, if at all, those mergers raised post-merger prices. Those studies help illuminate the issue of whether and why enforcement has been too lenient or too strict.
White also suggests that the agencies evaluate mergers and other conduct that can affect workers by depressing wages or other benefits and hiring fewer workers than would be the case in more competitive labor markets, i.e., addressing the acquisition and exercise of monopsony power. White (at 12-13) specifically urges the agencies to be more active (as they have become) in evaluating the competitive effects of non-compete clauses that prevent workers from leaving one firm for higher wages at another. White points out such no-poaching clauses are prevalent in the fast-food industry, where the employees tend to be the working poor and so are the ones being harmed by monopsony.
Other suggested improvements (at 14-15) include expanding the agencies’ competition advocacy role in assisting state and local regulatory agencies in the evaluation of the competitive effects of market restrictions, including occupational licensing requirements which can result in anticompetitive restrictions on competition. Further, White notes (at 15-16) that the current standards to satisfy a finding of price (or non-price) predation are flawed: “They ignore the possibility that the predatory firm is willing to run losses simply to build a reputation for no-holds-barred behavior.” Even if the courts conclude that such conduct is not predatory under current legal standards, this kind of behavior can serve to soften rival responses in the market and deter entry and expansion. White urges the agencies to educate the courts as to this kind of competition-softening conduct that harms consumers.
In terms of meeting the challenges posed by market power resulting from substantial network effects, White suggests (at 16-17) that as compared to forced divestitures, a more effective remedy might be to require interoperability between, say, Facebook and other smaller social networks. As a result, the members of a smaller, more specialized network could interact with the Facebook subscribers as well, eliminating any entry and expansion hurdles resulting from network effects. The difficulty with this solution, as White (at 17) points out, is that any “interoperability requirement, with accompanying standards for interoperability, would require direct regulation” of the implementation of those standards.
Further, one might assess Facebook’s incentives to use new technological developments to delay interoperability by, for example, asserting that the same quality of service cannot be provided with other smaller independent networks because of technical impediments. Similarly, Facebook delay in providing complete interoperability (or in degrading the quality of the connection) would likely result in complaints by smaller networks that will have to be adjudicated. Historically, efforts by the FCC to ensure that (for example) cellular and data service rivals to the Bell Operating companies had comparable interconnection to the local landline network as that for the Bell Operating companies’ own services were at best time consuming, leaving the incumbent with competitive advantages during the regulatory delays.
Of course, Facebook (and other targeted firms) would surely claim that mandating interoperability would generate efficiency losses by discouraging future investments to improve Facebook in ways that attract more subscribers and so permits rivals to free-ride on Facebook’s innovations. Those claimed losses would also have to be carefully assessed for their validity as opposed to relying on broad generalities Facebook might offer. The burden should be on Facebook to validate those losses.